WMT — Walmart Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates WMT Bullish with a Setup Score of 10, net conviction 23, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score10
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction23
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Walmart Inc.

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club U.S. It operates supercenters, supermarkets, warehouse clubs, cash and carry stores, and discount stores under Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands; membership-only warehouse clubs; and ecommerce websites, su… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$105.38
Market Cap$826.37B
Float4.37B
Shares Outstanding7.96B
P/E (Forward)39.53
P/E (TTM)40.25
Price/Sales (TTM)1.25
vs. Analyst Target+30.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.22%
Revenue (TTM)$725.30B
Earnings Growth (YoY)19.40%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$137.95 (43 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $559.15B $13.51B $138.84B $34.03B
2022 $572.75B $13.67B $143.75B $31.35B
2023 $611.29B $11.68B $147.57B $30.09B
2024 $648.13B $15.51B $157.98B $36.38B
2025 $680.99B $19.44B $169.23B $42.01B
2026 $713.16B $21.89B $177.77B $46.47B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $177.40B $7.03B
Oct 2025 $179.50B $6.14B
Jan 2026 $190.66B $4.24B
Apr 2026 $177.75B $5.65B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership44.9%
Institutional Ownership38.3%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding49.58%
Number of Funds Holding4,361

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$111.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$117.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$107.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$78.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$114.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$105.65Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$83.80Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$113.00 resistance 1.00x 0 months ago
$131.00 resistance 1.02x 2 months ago
$88.00 support 1.35x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.07% -0.05% 40.98% 4.47% -4.82%
1 Day -0.38% -0.51% 40.16% 6.96% -9.05%
1 Week -0.15% -0.01% 49.59% 11.09% -17.46%
2 Weeks 0.73% 0.64% 55.37% 12.83% -12.82%
1 Month 1.01% 0.56% 52.89% 17.24% -12.81%

Next earnings: November 8, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%54.9%51
Feb1.4%52.9%51
Mar2.9%66.0%50
Apr2.2%51.0%51
May1.4%51.0%51
Jun2.6%51.0%51
Jul1.8%56.9%51
Aug1.2%52.0%50
Sep0.4%52.0%50
Oct1.1%54.0%50
Nov4.5%66.0%50
Dec0.6%44.0%50

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 49.7% 2397
Tuesday 0.13% 50.0% 2599
Wednesday 0.05% 48.1% 2600
Thursday 0.09% 48.8% 2550
Friday 0.03% 49.1% 2535

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 38.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 44.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings70
Net Value-$74.4M
Net Shares Change-42,250,963
% of Float-1.0%
C-Suite Filings51
Clusters Detected11

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Walton Family Holdings Trust -$1.93B 7 7 sell
Nicholas Christopher James Executive Vice President -$4.2M 1 1 sell
Watkins Latriece Executive Vice President -$2.5M 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-26 – 2025-09-03 4 3 -$399M 2 C-suite
2025-09-16 – 2025-09-26 6 6 -$254M 5 C-suite
2025-10-17 – 2025-10-24 4 4 -$4.1M 4 C-suite
2025-11-19 – 2025-12-02 7 7 -$444M 6 C-suite
2025-12-17 – 2025-12-29 6 5 -$134M 4 C-suite
2026-01-15 – 2026-01-23 5 5 -$6.6M 5 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-03-04 9 7 -$529M 5 C-suite
2026-03-11 – 2026-03-20 3 3 -$347M 2 C-suite
2026-04-17 – 2026-04-24 4 4 -$4.7M 3 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-29 7 6 -$315M 4 C-suite
2026-06-04 – 2026-06-18 4 3 -$738M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-29 Watkins Latriece Executive Vice President -$1.3M Transaction at $118.97, now -11.4%
2026-06-18 Walton Family Holdings Trust -$536M Transaction at $121.09, now -13.0%
2026-06-04 Walton Family Holdings Trust -$201M Transaction at $113.32, now -7.0%
2026-05-29 Walton Family Holdings Trust -$55.0M Transaction at $119.04, now -11.5%
2026-02-23 Watkins Latriece Executive Vice President -$1.2M Transaction at $121.46, now -13.2%
2026-02-23 Nicholas Christopher James Executive Vice President -$4.2M Transaction at $122.00, now -13.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Walmart Inc. (WMT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WMT on Trend Edge →