PSMT — PriceSmart Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PSMT Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 55, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction55
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About PriceSmart Inc

PriceSmart, Inc. owns and operates U.S.-style membership shopping warehouse clubs in the United States, Central America, the Caribbean, and Colombia. The company provides basic and private label merchandise and consumable and non-consumable products under the Member's Selection brand, including groceries, cleaning supplies, health and beauty aids, meat, produce, deli, seafood, and poultry. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$196.30
Market Cap$5.81B
Float27.8M
Shares Outstanding30.9M
P/E (Forward)27.47
P/E (TTM)37.13
Price/Sales (TTM)1.05
vs. Analyst Target-21.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.07%
Revenue (TTM)$5.53B
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.60%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$153.33 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.33B $77.3M $552M $185M
2021 $3.62B $96.7M $642M $219M
2022 $4.07B $103M $680M $234M
2023 $4.41B $108M $759M $253M
2024 $4.91B $137M $847M $297M
2025 $5.27B $145M $914M $306M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $1.33B $30.7M
Nov 2025 $1.38B $38.9M
Feb 2026 $1.50B $49.1M
May 2026 $1.48B $39.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.4%
Institutional Ownership98.7%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding4.09%
Number of Funds Holding336

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$178.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$147.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$124.36Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$95.93Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$152.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$126.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$103.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$169.00 support 1.45x 0 months ago
$157.00 support 1.04x 1 months ago
$123.00 support 1.00x 5 months ago
$107.00 support 1.11x 9 months ago
$88.00 support 1.50x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (109 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.00% 46.79% 12.42% -12.22%
1 Day 0.32% 0.47% 61.47% 12.20% -15.21%
1 Week 0.98% 0.46% 54.63% 14.90% -24.27%
2 Weeks 1.32% 1.15% 56.48% 20.11% -15.45%
1 Month 2.10% 1.55% 59.26% 51.37% -32.39%

Next earnings: September 26, 2026 (75 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.5%34.5%29
Feb0.2%48.3%29
Mar2.5%51.7%29
Apr3.2%62.1%29
May0.6%48.3%29
Jun3.5%62.1%29
Jul2.9%53.6%28
Aug-0.6%46.4%28
Sep-1.9%50.0%28
Oct3.0%55.2%29
Nov1.2%62.1%29
Dec2.7%58.6%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 48.6% 1363
Tuesday 0.15% 48.9% 1489
Wednesday 0.08% 48.3% 1490
Thursday 0.15% 51.1% 1459
Friday -0.01% 49.7% 1452

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.4%

Founder-led management: Robert Price (Founder & Executive Chairman), David N. Price (CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$3.6M
Net Shares Change-59,824
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PRICE ROBERT E -$3.5M 2 2 sell
HILDEBRANDT JOHN D President and COO -$2.2M 2 2 sell
Kovaleski Paul EVP-Chief Merch. Officer -$582,339.3 1 1 sell
McCleary Michael EVP-Finance -$539,488.863 1 1 sell
ZURCHER EDGAR -$350,529.03 1 1 sell
Velasco Francisco EVP - CLO, CRCO -$105,885.26 2 2 sell
Hanson Gordon H. -$100,076 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-05 – 2025-11-18 3 3 -$1.4M 2 C-suite
2026-01-12 – 2026-01-12 4 4 -$2.3M 2 C-suite
2026-04-24 – 2026-05-04 3 3 -$3.7M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-04 ZURCHER EDGAR -$350,529.03 Transaction at $155.17, now +26.5%
2026-05-18 Velasco Francisco EVP - CLO, CRCO -$53,593.28 Transaction at $158.56, now +23.8%
2026-04-24 PRICE ROBERT E -$3.2M Transaction at $160.69, now +22.2%
2026-05-01 Hanson Gordon H. -$100,076 Transaction at $157.60, now +24.6%
2026-02-13 Velasco Francisco EVP - CLO, CRCO -$52,291.98 Transaction at $154.71, now +26.9%
2026-01-12 HILDEBRANDT JOHN D President and COO -$1.0M Transaction at $136.88, now +43.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PriceSmart Inc (PSMT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PSMT on Trend Edge →