TGT — Target Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Target Corporation

Target Corporation operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers apparel for women, men, young adults, kids, toddlers, and babies, as well as jewelry, accessories, and shoes; and beauty products, such as skin and bath care, cosmetics, hair care, oral care, deodorant, and shaving products. The company also provides food and beverage products comprising dry and perishable grocery, including snacks, candy, beverages, del… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$121.54
Market Cap$55.90B
Float451.6M
Shares Outstanding454.2M
P/E (Forward)15.65
P/E (TTM)15.14
Price/Sales (TTM)0.53
vs. Analyst Target+3.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.54%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.91%
Revenue (TTM)$104.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-5.00%
Dividend Rate4.6%
Analyst Target Price$126.31 (37 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $93.56B $4.37B $27.38B $9.01B
2022 $106.00B $6.95B $31.04B $11.97B
2023 $109.12B $2.78B $26.81B $6.60B
2024 $107.41B $4.14B $29.58B $8.60B
2025 $106.57B $4.09B $30.06B $8.65B
2026 $104.78B $3.71B $29.27B $8.35B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $23.85B $1.04B
Jul 2025 $25.21B $935M
Oct 2025 $25.27B $689M
Jan 2026 $30.45B $1.04B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership81.7%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding20.84%
Number of Funds Holding1,713

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$122.56Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$104.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$109.74Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$133.26Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$105.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$111.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$128.55Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$112.00 support 1.01x 1 months ago
$134.00 resistance 1.07x 14 months ago
$151.00 resistance 2.05x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.51% 54.70% 16.77% -24.25%
1 Day 0.07% 0.26% 52.14% 20.43% -24.93%
1 Week 0.62% 0.11% 51.28% 24.40% -27.34%
2 Weeks 1.08% 1.39% 56.41% 26.90% -25.26%
1 Month 1.45% 1.82% 54.70% 27.18% -32.79%

Next earnings: May 20, 2026 (2 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%47.1%51
Feb1.3%62.7%51
Mar3.5%64.7%51
Apr1.2%52.9%51
May0.7%52.0%50
Jun-0.0%54.0%50
Jul1.9%62.0%50
Aug1.2%60.0%50
Sep-0.5%46.0%50
Oct0.8%64.0%50
Nov2.7%54.0%50
Dec-0.2%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.4% 2383
Tuesday 0.09% 49.6% 2584
Wednesday 0.08% 47.9% 2585
Thursday 0.08% 49.4% 2535
Friday 0.06% 49.2% 2522

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$10.9M
Net Shares Change-99,097
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cornell Brian C Executive Officer -$10.4M 2 2 sell
LIEGEL MATTHEW A Chief Accounting Officer -$446,838.243 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-11 Cornell Brian C Executive Officer -$6.1M Transaction at $121.76, now -0.2%
2026-03-19 LIEGEL MATTHEW A Chief Accounting Officer -$240,593.328 Transaction at $117.19, now +3.7%
2025-05-30 Cornell Brian C Executive Officer -$4.3M Transaction at $96.18, now +26.4%
2025-06-12 LIEGEL MATTHEW A Chief Accounting Officer -$206,244.914 Transaction at $100.90, now +20.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Target Corporation (TGT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TGT on Trend Edge →