Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates OLLI Bearish with a Setup Score of 53, net conviction 39, actionability 71. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
53
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
39
Actionability
71 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 88.30 vs px 86.13)
Fresh Breakdown — 80wk turn 21w+40wk turn 32w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 105 vs px 86.13)
Funds Distributing — momZ +0.75 · 5.31→5.15
Short Attack — velZ +2.76 · age 85w×0.45 · 13.12%
Seasonal Headwind — december med -5.3% (mag 1/3) · posClose 27.27% (rel 2/3) · n11 ×0.5 = 4.4
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.22 · low 13w×1.00 · vs industry
About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the United States. The company offers health and beauty aids, food, candy, beverages, pet food and treats, laundry related products, and cleaning supplies; housewares and kitchen items, home decor products, furniture, household essential items, and home maintenance and utility items; patio furniture, air conditioners, fans, space heaters, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Defensive
Industry: Discount Stores
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: July 16, 2015
Headquarters: 6295 Allentown Boulevard, Harrisburg, PA, United States, 17112
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$79.02
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$88.28
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$105.38
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$89.94
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$87.43
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$104.27
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$95.61
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
(OLLI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.