UAN — CVR Partners LP

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UAN Bullish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 30, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About CVR Partners LP

CVR Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of nitrogen fertilizer in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate products. It serves agricultural and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Sugar Land, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$125.90
Market Cap$1.32B
Float10.3M
Shares Outstanding10.6M
P/E (Forward)10.20
P/E (TTM)8.06
Price/Sales (TTM)1.91
vs. Analyst Target-92.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin23.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)42.38%
Revenue (TTM)$677M
Earnings Growth (YoY)99.90%
Dividend Rate14.5%
Analyst Target Price$9.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $350M -$98.2M $24.8M $41.4M
2021 $533M $78.2M $162M $213M
2022 $836M $287M $352M $403M
2023 $681M $172M $232M $281M
2024 $525M $60.9M $119M $179M
2025 $606M $98.7M $163M $211M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $164M $43.1M
Dec 2025 $131M -$10.3M
Mar 2026 $180M $49.9M
Jun 2026 $202M $77.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership53.8%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.78%
Number of Funds Holding69

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$119.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$115.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$100.50Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$89.63Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$114.53Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$100.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$88.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$102.00 support 2.96x 4 months ago
$66.00 support 1.17x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (61 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.51% 0.00% 44.26% 9.41% -18.92%
1 Day 0.65% 1.04% 59.02% 10.95% -16.51%
1 Week -2.10% -2.40% 39.34% 20.59% -22.74%
2 Weeks -3.40% -3.27% 27.87% 15.30% -31.10%
1 Month -2.69% -3.41% 31.67% 74.18% -67.72%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.0%73.3%15
Feb6.0%53.3%15
Mar3.3%40.0%15
Apr4.6%80.0%15
May-5.3%37.5%16
Jun-1.1%37.5%16
Jul4.3%75.0%16
Aug-8.1%20.0%15
Sep0.2%40.0%15
Oct-1.6%53.3%15
Nov0.1%33.3%15
Dec4.2%46.7%15

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 46.0% 724
Tuesday 0.11% 48.2% 794
Wednesday -0.02% 46.9% 791
Thursday 0.08% 45.8% 777
Friday 0.12% 48.2% 774

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$864,721.2
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PYTOSH MARK A President and CEO -$864,721.2 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-12 PYTOSH MARK A President and CEO -$864,721.2 Transaction at $94.92, now +32.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CVR Partners LP (UAN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UAN on Trend Edge →