ICL — ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ICL Bearish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 43, actionability 56. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction43
Actionability56 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd

ICL Group Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty minerals and chemicals company worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. The Industrial Products segment produces bromine out of a solution that is a by-product of the potash production process, as well as bromine-based compounds; sells various grades of potash, salt, magnesium chloride, and magne… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.68
Market Cap$7.06B
Float723.4M
Shares Outstanding1.29B
P/E (Forward)55.56
P/E (TTM)23.00
Price/Sales (TTM)0.92
vs. Analyst Target+2.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.46%
Revenue (TTM)$7.71B
Earnings Growth (YoY)51.60%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$5.81 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.04B $11.0M $1.49B $634M
2021 $6.96B $783M $2.61B $1.72B
2022 $10.02B $2.16B $5.03B $4.04B
2023 $7.54B $647M $2.67B $1.67B
2024 $6.84B $407M $2.26B $1.38B
2025 $7.15B $226M $2.19B $1.35B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.85B $115M
Dec 2025 $1.70B -$73.0M
Mar 2026 $2.02B $126M
Jun 2026 $2.13B $137M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership44.0%
Institutional Ownership31.0%
Short Float0.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.48%
Number of Funds Holding218

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$5.26Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.88Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.50 resistance 1.28x 1 months ago
$4.60 support 1.15x 19 months ago
$4.20 support 1.11x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.04% 0.00% 33.75% 5.04% -4.00%
1 Day -0.02% 0.00% 38.75% 4.73% -4.15%
1 Week 0.57% 0.37% 52.50% 13.55% -10.55%
2 Weeks 0.71% 0.60% 52.50% 24.53% -14.54%
1 Month -0.14% -1.10% 45.57% 41.51% -27.67%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%57.1%21
Feb0.5%47.6%21
Mar1.4%61.9%21
Apr3.6%63.6%22
May2.6%45.5%22
Jun-4.0%22.7%22
Jul2.3%68.2%22
Aug0.1%47.6%21
Sep-2.6%38.1%21
Oct1.4%57.1%21
Nov-0.7%57.1%21
Dec4.1%57.1%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 41.3% 1010
Tuesday 0.05% 37.3% 1106
Wednesday 0.04% 40.4% 1107
Thursday -0.07% 37.8% 1086
Friday 0.08% 37.1% 1080

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 31.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 44.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ICL on Trend Edge →