Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates SMG Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 19, actionability 94. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
42
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
19
Actionability
94 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 62.63 vs px 62.27)
Fresh Trend Turn — 40wk turn 8w+10wk turn 7w
200wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 63.63 vs px 62.27)
Seasonal Tailwind — october med 3.2% (mag 1/3) · posClose 64.71% (rel 2/3) · n34 ×0.5 = 3.2
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of products for lawn, garden care, and indoor and hydroponic gardening in the United States and internationally. The company provides lawn care products, comprising lawn fertilizers, clover and grass seed products, spreaders, and other durable products, as well as lawn-related weed, pest, and disease control products; and gardening and … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Agricultural Inputs
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: January 31, 1992
Headquarters: 14111 Scottslawn Road, Marysville, OH, United States, 43041
Founder-Led: Yes — Horace Hagedorn (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$62.27
Market Cap
$3.61B
Float
44.5M
Shares Outstanding
58.2M
P/E (Forward)
16.23
P/E (TTM)
23.60
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.04
vs. Analyst Target
+23.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
2.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)
18.58%
Revenue (TTM)
$3.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.40%
Dividend Rate
2.6%
Analyst Target Price
$77.17 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$4.13B
$387M
$1.35B
$685M
2021
$4.92B
$513M
$1.47B
$850M
2022
$3.92B
-$438M
$873M
-$335M
2023
$3.55B
-$380M
$657M
-$183M
2024
$3.55B
-$34.9M
$851M
$216M
2025
$3.41B
$145M
$1.04B
$426M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$387M
-$152M
Dec 2025
$354M
-$125M
Mar 2026
$1.46B
$239M
Jun 2026
$1.17B
$104M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
23.7%
Institutional Ownership
82.7%
Short Float
11.7%
% of All Funds Holding
5.07%
Number of Funds Holding
417
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$66.17
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$62.63
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$61.23
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$63.63
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$62.79
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$61.13
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$63.93
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$58.00
support
1.09x
1 months ago
$69.00
resistance
1.20x
4 months ago
$51.00
support
1.31x
14 months ago
$87.00
resistance
1.24x
20 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.02%
0.00%
49.19%
3.58%
-10.75%
1 Day
0.30%
-0.06%
49.19%
11.43%
-12.04%
1 Week
0.42%
-0.26%
45.97%
30.01%
-16.83%
2 Weeks
0.54%
0.04%
50.41%
27.48%
-15.88%
1 Month
0.24%
0.27%
51.22%
28.62%
-29.51%
Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (66 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
3.9%
64.7%
34
Feb
-1.4%
37.1%
35
Mar
2.2%
54.3%
35
Apr
0.3%
48.6%
35
May
-0.5%
42.9%
35
Jun
-2.6%
31.4%
35
Jul
1.3%
45.7%
35
Aug
1.0%
55.9%
34
Sep
-1.9%
47.1%
34
Oct
2.8%
64.7%
34
Nov
2.7%
61.8%
34
Dec
2.8%
73.5%
34
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.04%
46.9%
1635
Tuesday
0.09%
49.1%
1785
Wednesday
0.05%
49.1%
1783
Thursday
0.01%
46.7%
1749
Friday
0.10%
51.1%
1737
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 82.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 23.7%
Founder-led management: Horace Hagedorn (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
(SMG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.