IPI — Intrepid Potash Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Intrepid Potash Inc

Intrepid Potash, Inc. delivers potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products. It operates through three segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The company offers muriate of potash for various markets, such as in agricultural market as a fertilizer input, in animal feed market as a nutrient supplement, in industrial market as a component in drilling and fracturing fluids, as well as input to other industrial processes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$39.80
Market Cap$542M
Float10.6M
Shares Outstanding13.4M
P/E (Forward)126.58
P/E (TTM)36.34
Price/Sales (TTM)2.24
vs. Analyst Target-34.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.99%
Revenue (TTM)$242M
Earnings Growth (YoY)60.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$26.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $197M -$27.2M $10.5M $10.9M
2021 $270M $250M $55.8M $77.5M
2022 $338M $72.2M $141M $134M
2023 $279M -$35.7M $36.8M -$5.2M
2024 $255M -$213M $29.1M $18.8M
2025 $298M $11.2M $52.2M $58.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $71.5M $3.3M
Sep 2025 $53.2M $3.7M
Dec 2025 $75.9M -$429,000
Mar 2026 $98.7M $7.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.9%
Institutional Ownership61.9%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding1.79%
Number of Funds Holding147

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$39.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$32.93Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.64Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.57Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.60 support 2.81x 1 months ago
$28.00 support 1.11x 3 months ago
$22.20 support 1.25x 15 months ago
$20.20 support 1.09x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.28% 0.42% 50.68% 8.38% -14.95%
1 Day 0.92% 1.37% 64.38% 24.25% -32.32%
1 Week 1.96% 0.99% 56.16% 61.62% -27.25%
2 Weeks 2.21% 0.25% 50.68% 38.95% -35.47%
1 Month 1.39% -2.23% 43.06% 63.96% -58.72%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.4%33.3%18
Feb2.9%61.1%18
Mar-1.0%44.4%18
Apr4.6%50.0%18
May0.9%38.9%18
Jun0.7%61.1%18
Jul-1.0%50.0%18
Aug-3.1%38.9%18
Sep-4.1%44.4%18
Oct1.5%50.0%18
Nov-2.0%38.9%18
Dec8.7%61.1%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 46.3% 853
Tuesday 0.02% 49.7% 936
Wednesday 0.08% 48.6% 934
Thursday -0.01% 48.2% 915
Friday 0.24% 48.9% 912

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 61.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-57,911
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jornayvaz Robert P III -$1.8M 2 2 sell
Lancaster Lori A -$217,149.6 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Lancaster Lori A -$217,149.6 Transaction at $45.24, now -12.0%
2025-07-25 Jornayvaz Robert P III -$1.8M Transaction at $34.30, now +16.0%
2025-05-29 Jornayvaz Robert P III -$2,815.8 Transaction at $37.05, now +7.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Intrepid Potash Inc (IPI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IPI on Trend Edge →