NTR — Nutrien Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Nutrien Ltd

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. The company operates through four segments: Retail, Potash, Nitrogen, and Phosphate. The Retail segment markets crop nutrients, crop protection products, seed, and merchandise, as well as provides agronomic application and financing services and solutions; and produces proprietary products, including proprietary crop nutrient, crop protection, and seed products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$68.73
Market Cap$33.65B
Float479.3M
Shares Outstanding480.0M
P/E (Forward)10.62
P/E (TTM)14.28
Price/Sales (TTM)1.25
vs. Analyst Target+18.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.50%
Revenue (TTM)$26.88B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1250.00%
Dividend Rate2.2%
Analyst Target Price$81.40 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $20.91B $459M $5.24B $2.89B
2021 $27.71B $3.15B $9.41B $6.58B
2022 $37.88B $7.66B $15.42B $12.78B
2023 $29.06B $1.26B $8.47B $4.88B
2024 $25.97B $674M $7.53B $4.21B
2025 $27.36B $2.31B $8.49B $6.21B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.44B $1.22B
Sep 2025 $5.94B $459M
Dec 2025 $5.42B $580M
Mar 2026 $5.96B $129M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership71.1%
Short Float0.5%
% of All Funds Holding8.49%
Number of Funds Holding698

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$72.10Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$59.64Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$61.61Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$65.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$59.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$58.45Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$62.00 support 1.17x 3 months ago
$50.00 support 1.27x 12 months ago
$45.00 support 1.09x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.09% 60.00% 2.72% -2.44%
1 Day 0.15% 0.12% 51.43% 3.11% -4.12%
1 Week 0.90% 0.24% 51.43% 11.43% -7.98%
2 Weeks 1.37% -0.22% 48.57% 28.79% -10.11%
1 Month 1.29% -1.14% 47.06% 36.71% -32.79%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%62.5%8
Feb4.0%66.7%9
Mar-0.9%33.3%9
Apr0.9%55.6%9
May-0.2%50.0%8
Jun-1.4%37.5%8
Jul3.5%75.0%8
Aug0.3%50.0%8
Sep0.5%50.0%8
Oct-2.6%37.5%8
Nov1.5%25.0%8
Dec0.2%50.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 52.9% 395
Tuesday 0.08% 48.7% 435
Wednesday 0.00% 50.3% 431
Thursday -0.06% 48.1% 424
Friday 0.07% 51.4% 424

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 71.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nutrien Ltd (NTR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NTR on Trend Edge →