TMHC — Taylor Morn Home

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TMHC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 40, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Taylor Morn Home

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder and land developer in the United States. It designs, builds, and sells single, and multifamily detached and attached homes in markets for entry-level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers under the Taylor Morrison and Esplanade brand names; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities with single, and multi-family detached and attached homes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$71.85
Market Cap$6.61B
Float92.7M
Shares Outstanding92.0M
P/E (Forward)14.56
P/E (TTM)10.72
Price/Sales (TTM)0.87
vs. Analyst Target-8.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.14%
Revenue (TTM)$7.61B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-51.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$65.75 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.13B $243M $1.06B $529M
2021 $7.50B $663M $1.56B $895M
2022 $8.22B $1.05B $2.12B $1.44B
2023 $7.42B $769M $1.79B $1.05B
2024 $8.17B $883M $2.01B $1.21B
2025 $8.12B $783M $1.87B $1.10B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.03B $196M
Sep 2025 $2.10B $201M
Dec 2025 $2.10B $174M
Mar 2026 $1.39B $100M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership104.8%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding5.05%
Number of Funds Holding415

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$66.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$62.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$62.40Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$54.19Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$62.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$62.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$58.51Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 support 1.01x 12 months ago
$73.00 resistance 1.13x 18 months ago
$56.00 support 1.09x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (53 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.20% 54.72% 3.50% -4.20%
1 Day -0.79% -0.63% 41.51% 7.73% -11.27%
1 Week -0.56% -0.29% 47.17% 10.25% -13.67%
2 Weeks 0.87% 0.32% 54.72% 14.95% -13.02%
1 Month 0.85% 0.78% 58.49% 18.66% -31.15%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.5%61.5%13
Feb1.9%61.5%13
Mar-2.0%61.5%13
Apr2.5%61.5%13
May2.6%64.3%14
Jun1.6%50.0%14
Jul3.2%46.2%13
Aug0.6%61.5%13
Sep-1.8%38.5%13
Oct-0.4%30.8%13
Nov6.3%76.9%13
Dec-1.0%38.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 51.8% 625
Tuesday 0.15% 52.0% 686
Wednesday 0.13% 50.8% 681
Thursday -0.09% 49.3% 669
Friday 0.13% 49.8% 667

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$3.8M
Net Shares Change-62,423
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Palmer Sheryl Chairman, President and CEO -$2.7M 2 N/A
MARIUCCI ANNE L -$980,140 1 1 sell
VANHYFTE CURTIS CFO -$776,151.512 3 3 sell
Merrill Stevin Todd EVP, CLO & Secretary -$309,016.48 1 1 sell
Warren Denise -$212,801.378 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-22 VANHYFTE CURTIS CFO -$209,007.27 Transaction at $48.88, now +47.0%
2026-02-18 Warren Denise -$212,801.378 Transaction at $69.20, now +3.8%
2025-09-15 MARIUCCI ANNE L -$980,140 Transaction at $70.00, now +2.6%
2025-09-15 Merrill Stevin Todd EVP, CLO & Secretary -$309,016.48 Transaction at $70.04, now +2.6%
2025-08-26 VANHYFTE CURTIS CFO -$207,802.98 Transaction at $49.52, now +45.1%
2025-08-08 VANHYFTE CURTIS CFO -$359,341.262 Transaction at $46.80, now +53.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Taylor Morn Home (TMHC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TMHC on Trend Edge →