GRBK — Green Brick Partners Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Green Brick Partners Inc

Green Brick Partners, Inc., the third-largest homebuilder in Dallas-Fort Worth and one of Fortune Magazine's fastest-growing companies. It is a diversified homebuilding and land development company operating through its seven subsidiary homebuilders in Texas, Georgia, and Florida. Green Brick owns five subsidiary homebuilders in Texas (CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, Trophy Signature Homes, and a 90% interest in Centre Living Home… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$66.33
Market Cap$2.87B
Float30.0M
Shares Outstanding43.1M
P/E (Forward)10.63
P/E (TTM)9.80
Price/Sales (TTM)1.38
vs. Analyst Target-6.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.42%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.12%
Revenue (TTM)$2.07B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-16.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$62.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $976M $114M $235M $126M
2021 $1.40B $190M $362M $231M
2022 $1.76B $292M $523M $361M
2023 $1.78B $285M $548M $359M
2024 $2.10B $382M $704M $482M
2025 $2.04B $313M $636M $415M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $549M $81.9M
Sep 2025 $499M $77.9M
Dec 2025 $494M $78.4M
Mar 2026 $465M $60.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.4%
Institutional Ownership81.5%
Short Float5.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.42%
Number of Funds Holding281

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$65.65Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$68.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$64.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$54.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$68.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$64.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$59.10Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 support 1.27x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.68% 1.12% 58.90% 28.26% -21.05%
1 Day 0.96% 0.49% 52.05% 38.46% -12.20%
1 Week 0.48% -0.12% 47.95% 78.18% -26.09%
2 Weeks 0.52% -1.06% 43.84% 98.51% -45.81%
1 Month 2.49% -0.18% 47.22% 140.30% -45.10%

Next earnings: May 6, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%52.6%19
Feb2.0%42.1%19
Mar7.5%57.9%19
Apr-3.9%42.1%19
May5.0%44.4%18
Jun-6.2%50.0%18
Jul6.5%52.6%19
Aug-3.7%47.4%19
Sep0.4%47.4%19
Oct13.6%47.4%19
Nov1.5%57.9%19
Dec3.1%52.6%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 44.1% 894
Tuesday 0.06% 45.2% 977
Wednesday 0.22% 46.7% 975
Thursday 0.29% 44.9% 957
Friday 0.22% 46.4% 954

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.4%

Founder-led management: Jim Brickman (Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$2.4M
Net Shares Change-46,249
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dolson Jed President and COO -$2.4M 1 1 sell
Press Richard S -$599,930 2 2 sell
Olsen Kathleen -$538,575 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-04 Olsen Kathleen -$538,575 Transaction at $71.81, now -7.6%
2026-03-04 Press Richard S -$180,050 Transaction at $72.02, now -7.9%
2025-08-14 Dolson Jed President and COO -$2.4M Transaction at $67.62, now -1.9%
2025-08-20 Press Richard S -$419,880 Transaction at $69.98, now -5.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRBK on Trend Edge →