PHM — PulteGroup Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About PulteGroup Inc

PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. The company is involved in the acquisition and development of land primarily for residential purposes, as well as construction of housing; and sale of single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes, condominiums, and duplexes under the Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods bra… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$119.10
Market Cap$22.15B
Float189.0M
Shares Outstanding190.5M
P/E (Forward)11.45
P/E (TTM)11.25
Price/Sales (TTM)1.32
vs. Analyst Target+15.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.14%
Revenue (TTM)$16.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-30.40%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$137.50 (17 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.04B $1.41B $2.78B $1.85B
2021 $13.93B $1.95B $3.78B $2.71B
2022 $16.23B $2.62B $4.83B $3.52B
2023 $16.06B $2.60B $29,300 -$1.23B
2024 $17.95B $3.08B $5.22B $4.10B
2025 $17.31B $2.22B $4.57B $3.02B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.40B $608M
Sep 2025 $4.40B $586M
Dec 2025 $4.61B $502M
Mar 2026 $3.41B $347M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.7%
Institutional Ownership96.8%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding11.84%
Number of Funds Holding973

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$118.87Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$125.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$117.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$97.84Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$124.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$118.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.38% 0.43% 63.64% 6.98% -14.80%
1 Day 0.76% 0.75% 58.68% 9.40% -5.64%
1 Week 0.84% -0.09% 49.59% 37.36% -22.35%
2 Weeks 0.68% 0.14% 50.41% 39.40% -33.53%
1 Month 2.64% 2.31% 60.83% 52.70% -34.41%

Next earnings: July 21, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.1%67.4%46
Feb0.0%50.0%46
Mar0.9%54.3%46
Apr1.9%53.2%47
May1.7%54.3%46
Jun-1.3%47.8%46
Jul3.7%54.3%46
Aug2.0%52.2%46
Sep-1.5%50.0%46
Oct1.6%47.8%46
Nov5.2%71.7%46
Dec4.8%63.0%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 45.5% 2200
Tuesday 0.19% 47.8% 2389
Wednesday 0.11% 47.1% 2386
Thursday 0.11% 47.8% 2340
Friday 0.06% 47.3% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$33.9M
Net Shares Change-88,122
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MARSHALL RYAN Chief Exec Officer, President -$21.9M 1 1 sell
FOLLIARD THOMAS J -$5.0M 1 1 sell
Koart Matthew William Exec. VP and COO -$4.7M 2 2 sell
Sheldon Todd N EVP, Gen Counsel, Corp Sec'y -$2.8M 1 1 sell
OShaughnessy Robert Exec. VP -$2.8M 1 1 sell
O'Meara Brien P. Vice President and Controller -$903,490.612 2 2 sell
HENRY KEVIN A EVP and Chief People Officer -$729,574.055 1 1 sell
Snyder Lila -$391,264.02 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-06 – 2026-02-06 5 5 -$34.3M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-27 Koart Matthew William Exec. VP and COO -$894,840 Transaction at $120.00, now -0.8%
2026-05-08 Snyder Lila -$391,264.02 Transaction at $117.18, now +1.6%
2026-02-06 Koart Matthew William Exec. VP and COO -$3.8M Transaction at $133.33, now -10.7%
2026-02-24 HENRY KEVIN A EVP and Chief People Officer -$729,574.055 Transaction at $141.03, now -15.6%
2026-02-06 MARSHALL RYAN Chief Exec Officer, President -$21.9M Transaction at $132.36, now -10.0%
2026-02-06 FOLLIARD THOMAS J -$5.0M Transaction at $134.04, now -11.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for PulteGroup Inc (PHM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PHM on Trend Edge →