DHI — DR Horton Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DHI Bullish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 47, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction47
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About DR Horton Inc

D.R. Horton, Inc. operates as a homebuilding company in East, North, Southeast, South Central, Southwest, and Northwest regions in the United States. It engages in the acquisition and development of land; and construction and sale of residential homes in 126 markets across 36 states under the names of D.R. Horton. The company also constructs and sells single-family detached homes; and attached homes, such as townhomes and duplexes. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$147.39
Market Cap$40.63B
Float250.6M
Shares Outstanding279.7M
P/E (Forward)12.71
P/E (TTM)14.23
Price/Sales (TTM)1.22
vs. Analyst Target+10.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.15%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.99%
Revenue (TTM)$33.35B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.80%
Dividend Rate1.8%
Analyst Target Price$162.92 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $20.31B $2.37B $4.94B $3.06B
2021 $27.77B $4.18B $7.88B $5.43B
2022 $33.48B $5.86B $10.50B $7.71B
2023 $35.46B $4.75B $9.35B $6.41B
2024 $36.80B $4.76B $9.54B $6.37B
2025 $34.25B $3.59B $8.12B $4.84B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $9.68B $905M
Dec 2025 $6.89B $595M
Mar 2026 $7.56B $648M
Jun 2026 $9.23B $905M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.4%
Institutional Ownership88.0%
Short Float4.2%
% of All Funds Holding13.89%
Number of Funds Holding1,222

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$151.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$150.35Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$145.73Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$137.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$150.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$145.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$144.88Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$169.00 resistance 1.01x 9 months ago
$129.00 support 1.49x 12 months ago
$117.00 support 1.01x 13 months ago
$192.00 resistance 1.09x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.31% 0.21% 59.84% 8.17% -5.41%
1 Day 0.07% -0.08% 46.72% 11.24% -8.45%
1 Week 0.02% 0.11% 51.64% 24.43% -29.73%
2 Weeks -0.03% 1.06% 59.02% 17.04% -33.63%
1 Month 1.05% 0.82% 53.72% 40.91% -31.73%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%61.8%34
Feb0.4%52.9%34
Mar-0.2%55.9%34
Apr3.8%55.9%34
May-0.9%44.1%34
Jun1.1%58.8%34
Jul3.6%65.7%35
Aug2.4%58.8%34
Sep-1.7%44.1%34
Oct-1.9%38.2%34
Nov6.9%70.6%34
Dec4.0%61.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 45.1% 1622
Tuesday 0.20% 49.0% 1769
Wednesday 0.18% 49.1% 1767
Thursday 0.14% 49.6% 1733
Friday 0.06% 46.6% 1722

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$5.8M
Net Shares Change-52,756
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Auld David V Executive Chairman -$5.5M 1 1 sell
Odom Aron M. SVP, Controller and PAO -$295,371 2 2 sell
BUCHANAN MICHAEL R -$180,740 1 1 sell
Murray Michael J EVP and COO -$17,876.28 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-09 – 2025-09-09 3 3 -$5.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-09 Odom Aron M. SVP, Controller and PAO -$251,808 Transaction at $183.00, now -19.5%
2025-09-09 Auld David V Executive Chairman -$5.5M Transaction at $182.21, now -19.1%
2026-02-17 Odom Aron M. SVP, Controller and PAO -$43,563 Transaction at $167.55, now -12.0%
2026-02-17 Murray Michael J EVP and COO -$17,876.28 Transaction at $148.97, now -1.1%
2025-09-09 BUCHANAN MICHAEL R -$180,740 Transaction at $180.74, now -18.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for DR Horton Inc (DHI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DHI on Trend Edge →