Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates TOL Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 30, actionability 34. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
32
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
30
Actionability
34 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
Fresh Trend Turn — 80wk turn 12w
80wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 134 vs px 133)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 115 vs px 133)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.98 · 8.75→9.10
Seasonal Tailwind — november med 4.8% (mag 1/3) · posClose 72.50% (rel 2/3) · n40 ×0.75 = 4.7
About Toll Brothers Inc
Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. It designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. The company also develops a range of single-story living and first-floor primary bedroom suite home designs, as well as communities with recreational ameniti… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Residential Construction
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: December 30, 1987
Headquarters: 1140 Virginia Drive, Fort Washington, PA, United States, 19034
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$141.35
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$144.63
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$134.30
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$114.58
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$144.08
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$133.56
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$124.81
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Toll Brothers Inc
(TOL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.