HOV — Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, markets, and sells residential homes in the United States. It offers single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes with amenities, such as clubhouses, swimming pools, tennis courts, tot lots, and open areas. The company markets and builds homes for first-time buyers, move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active lifest… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$112.75
Market Cap$686M
Float4.7M
Shares Outstanding5.2M
P/E (Forward)13.50
P/E (TTM)31.98
Price/Sales (TTM)0.24
vs. Analyst Target-34.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.40%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-26.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$74.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.34B $50.9M $372M $143M
2021 $2.78B $608M $541M $263M
2022 $2.92B $225M $643M $349M
2023 $2.76B $206M $580M $284M
2024 $3.00B $242M $602M $356M
2025 $2.98B $63.9M $421M $135M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $686M $19.7M
Jul 2025 $801M $16.6M
Oct 2025 $818M -$667,000
Jan 2026 $632M $20.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.9%
Institutional Ownership64.2%
Short Float6.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.73%
Number of Funds Holding142

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$108.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$118.83Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$119.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$114.44Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$119.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$122.45Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$125.78Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$129.00 resistance 1.09x 4 months ago
$90.00 support 2.22x 10 months ago
$195.00 resistance 1.30x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.25% 52.07% 10.45% -9.06%
1 Day -0.14% -0.51% 44.63% 20.63% -17.42%
1 Week 1.19% 0.00% 49.17% 132.26% -59.84%
2 Weeks 0.84% 0.22% 51.67% 174.19% -68.28%
1 Month 1.02% -1.19% 48.33% 185.48% -69.01%

Next earnings: August 9, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%53.5%43
Feb2.9%48.8%43
Mar1.1%44.2%43
Apr5.5%51.2%43
May-1.1%42.9%42
Jun-1.1%45.2%42
Jul-0.6%40.5%42
Aug3.0%50.0%42
Sep0.9%47.6%42
Oct0.0%41.9%43
Nov1.9%51.2%43
Dec5.5%41.9%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 41.2% 2032
Tuesday 0.25% 45.6% 2208
Wednesday 0.10% 42.2% 2204
Thursday 0.02% 43.5% 2164
Friday 0.10% 43.1% 2154

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 64.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$84,230.425
Net Shares Change-20,143
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KANGAS EDWARD A -$686,714.7 2 2 sell
SORSBY J LARRY -$519,385.026 1 1 sell
Sellers Robin Stone -$252,739.68 2 2 sell
MARENGI JOSEPH A -$209,865.04 2 2 sell
PAGANO VINCENT JR -$85,305.78 1 1 sell
COUTTS ROBERT B -$85,305.78 1 1 sell
HOVNANIAN ARA K Chairman of Bd., Pres. and CEO -$84,230.425 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-12 – 2025-06-16 11 6 -$1.1M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-17 SORSBY J LARRY -$519,385.026 Transaction at $227.40, now -50.4%
2025-07-01 KANGAS EDWARD A -$589,165.5 Transaction at $107.12, now +5.3%
2025-08-29 HOVNANIAN ARA K Chairman of Bd., Pres. and CEO -$84,230.425 Transaction at $138.31, now -18.5%
2025-07-09 Sellers Robin Stone -$167,433.9 Transaction at $111.62, now +1.0%
2025-06-12 MARENGI JOSEPH A -$112,315.84 Transaction at $105.56, now +6.8%
2025-06-16 Sellers Robin Stone -$85,305.78 Transaction at $99.54, now +13.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HOV on Trend Edge →