HOV — Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HOV Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, markets, and sells residential homes in the United States. It offers single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes with amenities, such as clubhouses, swimming pools, tennis courts, tot lots, and open areas. The company markets and builds homes for first-time buyers, move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active lifest… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$127.30
Market Cap$737M
Float4.3M
Shares Outstanding5.1M
P/E (Forward)13.50
P/E (TTM)34.83
Price/Sales (TTM)0.25
vs. Analyst Target-41.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.40%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-26.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$74.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.34B $50.9M $372M $143M
2021 $2.78B $608M $541M $263M
2022 $2.92B $225M $643M $349M
2023 $2.76B $206M $580M $284M
2024 $3.00B $242M $602M $356M
2025 $2.98B $63.9M $421M $135M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $801M $16.6M
Oct 2025 $818M -$667,000
Jan 2026 $632M $20.9M
Apr 2026 $668M -$284,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.0%
Institutional Ownership65.1%
Short Float8.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.73%
Number of Funds Holding142

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$119.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$116.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$117.29Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$116.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$119.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$117.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$129.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$113.00 support 1.17x 0 months ago
$90.00 support 2.22x 12 months ago
$195.00 resistance 1.30x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.28% 0.25% 52.07% 10.45% -9.06%
1 Day -0.14% -0.51% 44.63% 20.63% -17.42%
1 Week 1.16% 0.00% 48.76% 132.26% -59.84%
2 Weeks 0.78% 0.06% 51.24% 174.19% -68.28%
1 Month 1.02% -1.19% 48.33% 185.48% -69.01%

Next earnings: August 20, 2026 (38 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.3%53.5%43
Feb2.9%48.8%43
Mar1.1%44.2%43
Apr5.5%51.2%43
May-1.2%41.9%43
Jun-0.4%46.5%43
Jul-0.6%40.5%42
Aug3.0%50.0%42
Sep0.9%47.6%42
Oct0.0%41.9%43
Nov1.9%51.2%43
Dec5.5%41.9%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 41.1% 2038
Tuesday 0.25% 45.6% 2213
Wednesday 0.10% 42.2% 2210
Thursday 0.03% 43.5% 2170
Friday 0.10% 43.1% 2158

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 65.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$1.7M
Net Shares Change-19,551
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
HOVNANIAN ARA K Chairman of the Board & CEO -$1.7M 2 2 sell
SORSBY J LARRY -$666,527.959 2 2 sell
MARENGI JOSEPH A -$69,540 1 1 sell
Sellers Robin Stone -$60,876 1 1 sell
PAGANO VINCENT JR -$60,876 1 1 sell
Hernandez-Kakol Miriam -$60,876 1 1 sell
COUTTS ROBERT B -$60,876 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-11 – 2026-06-24 6 6 -$1.9M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 HOVNANIAN ARA K Chairman of the Board & CEO -$1.6M Transaction at $125.78, now +1.2%
2026-06-26 SORSBY J LARRY -$147,142.933 Transaction at $142.57, now -10.7%
2026-06-11 Sellers Robin Stone -$60,876 Transaction at $114.00, now +11.7%
2026-06-11 PAGANO VINCENT JR -$60,876 Transaction at $114.00, now +11.7%
2026-06-11 MARENGI JOSEPH A -$69,540 Transaction at $114.00, now +11.7%
2026-06-11 Hernandez-Kakol Miriam -$60,876 Transaction at $114.00, now +11.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HOV on Trend Edge →