KBH — KB Home

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KBH Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 35, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About KB Home

KB Home operates as a homebuilding company in the United States. It builds and sells homes, including attached and detached single-family residential homes, townhomes, and condominiums primarily for first-time, first move-up, second move-up, and active adult homebuyers. The company also provides financial services, such as mortgage banking services, such as residential consumer mortgage loan originations to homebuyers; property and casualty insur… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.13
Market Cap$2.83B
Float57.9M
Shares Outstanding60.8M
P/E (Forward)11.57
P/E (TTM)13.07
Price/Sales (TTM)0.55
vs. Analyst Target+29.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.98%
Revenue (TTM)$5.18B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-34.80%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$56.00 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.18B $296M $803M $356M
2021 $5.72B $565M $1.25B $705M
2022 $6.90B $817M $1.68B $1.10B
2023 $6.41B $590M $6.37B $719M
2024 $6.93B $655M $1.47B $888M
2025 $6.24B $429M $1.17B $591M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Nov 2025 $1.69B $102M
Feb 2026 $1.08B $33.4M
May 2026 $1.11B $27.3M
Aug 2026 $1.30B $65.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership106.5%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.25%
Number of Funds Holding374

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$51.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$54.55Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$56.49Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$58.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$53.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$55.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$61.01Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 resistance 1.43x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.33% 0.10% 53.60% 11.78% -12.15%
1 Day -0.36% -0.36% 41.60% 16.65% -11.85%
1 Week -0.52% -1.33% 42.40% 20.61% -16.80%
2 Weeks -0.68% -0.91% 46.40% 41.36% -27.69%
1 Month 0.81% -0.20% 49.19% 48.45% -31.49%

Next earnings: December 11, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.8%70.0%40
Feb-0.5%50.0%40
Mar1.5%52.5%40
Apr0.9%47.5%40
May-0.5%45.0%40
Jun2.0%52.5%40
Jul-1.2%47.5%40
Aug-1.1%47.5%40
Sep0.8%56.1%41
Oct-2.0%40.0%40
Nov3.0%70.0%40
Dec5.7%67.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 45.0% 1909
Tuesday 0.14% 47.9% 2077
Wednesday 0.20% 46.8% 2075
Thursday 0.05% 46.0% 2035
Friday 0.02% 47.1% 2024

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$14.1M
Net Shares Change-46,299
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MEZGER JEFFREY T Executive Chairman -$10.8M 1 1 sell
PRAW ALBERT Z EVP, Real Estate & Bus. Dev. -$2.5M 2 2 sell
McGibney Robert V. President and CEO -$806,281.1 1 1 sell
Collins Arthur Reginald -$227,840 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 PRAW ALBERT Z EVP, Real Estate & Bus. Dev. -$1.3M Transaction at $58.70, now -26.5%
2026-07-15 MEZGER JEFFREY T Executive Chairman -$10.8M Transaction at $35.77, now +20.6%
2026-08-07 Collins Arthur Reginald -$227,840 Transaction at $56.96, now -24.3%
2026-07-15 McGibney Robert V. President and CEO -$806,281.1 Transaction at $35.76, now +20.6%
2025-11-06 PRAW ALBERT Z EVP, Real Estate & Bus. Dev. -$1.2M Transaction at $60.08, now -28.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for KB Home (KBH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KBH on Trend Edge →