Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates NVR Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 25, actionability 59. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
38
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
25
Actionability
59 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 6808 vs px 6434)
Fresh Breakdown — 80wk turn 40w+40wk turn 23w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 7159 vs px 6434)
Short Attack — velZ +2.56 · age 101w×0.45 · 5.17%
RS Breakdown — momZ +1.79 · low 2w×1.00 · vs industry
About NVR Inc
NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Residential Construction
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: June 25, 1987
Headquarters: Plaza America Tower I, Reston, VA, United States, 20190
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$6460.09
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$6807.75
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$7159.34
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$7015.24
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$6835.83
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$7170.22
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$7304.82
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NVR Inc
(NVR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.