NVR — NVR Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About NVR Inc

NVR, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company operates through Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names. The company markets its Ryan Homes products to first-time and first-time move-up buyers; and NVHomes and Heartland Homes products to move-up and luxury… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6098.08
Market Cap$16.32B
Float2.7M
Shares Outstanding2.7M
P/E (Forward)15.55
P/E (TTM)14.77
Price/Sales (TTM)1.65
vs. Analyst Target+15.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.52%
Revenue (TTM)$9.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-28.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7070.00 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.55B $901M $1.61B $1.17B
2021 $8.96B $1.24B $2.20B $1.66B
2022 $10.54B $1.73B $2.88B $2.31B
2023 $9.53B $1.59B $2.48B $1.97B
2024 $10.54B $1.68B $2.69B $2.16B
2025 $10.32B $1.34B $2.37B $1.79B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.60B $334M
Sep 2025 $2.51B $343M
Dec 2025 $2.71B $364M
Mar 2026 $1.88B $198M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership90.0%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding7.39%
Number of Funds Holding607

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6319.57Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7240.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7459.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6868.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7232.05Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7528.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7234.44Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7370.00 resistance 1.23x 1 months ago
$8060.00 resistance 1.09x 6 months ago
$9220.00 resistance 1.15x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.00% 43.90% 2.44% -2.78%
1 Day 0.22% 0.00% 47.97% 10.76% -4.61%
1 Week 0.86% 0.00% 49.59% 26.54% -10.59%
2 Weeks 1.15% 0.33% 52.85% 32.39% -16.42%
1 Month 1.51% 1.17% 56.56% 42.36% -36.91%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan14.5%70.7%41
Feb0.4%36.6%41
Mar1.4%46.3%41
Apr1.7%48.8%41
May-0.6%52.5%40
Jun-4.3%47.5%40
Jul0.7%45.0%40
Aug2.5%56.1%41
Sep-2.5%41.5%41
Oct60.9%48.8%41
Nov2.1%68.3%41
Dec4.8%65.9%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 43.4% 1941
Tuesday 0.06% 45.1% 2113
Wednesday 0.28% 46.8% 2108
Thursday 0.06% 46.2% 2069
Friday 1.44% 45.6% 2058

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$4.1M
Net Shares Change115
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kelpy Matthew B. VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$5.0M 2 2 sell
Ross Susan Williamson -$3.9M 3 3 sell
Jung Alexandra A -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Bredow Eugene James Chief Executive Officer +$847,571.4 2 2 buy
DeVito Michael J +$172,647.2 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-15 Bredow Eugene James Chief Executive Officer +$346,569 Transaction at $5776.15, now +5.6%
2026-05-07 Bredow Eugene James Chief Executive Officer +$501,002.4 Transaction at $6262.53, now -2.6%
2026-04-27 DeVito Michael J +$73,694.5 Transaction at $6699.50, now -9.0%
2026-02-10 Kelpy Matthew B. VP, Chief Accounting Officer -$1.8M Transaction at $6287.76, now -3.0%
2025-11-05 DeVito Michael J +$98,952.7 Transaction at $7068.05, now -13.7%
2026-02-17 Ross Susan Williamson -$1.2M Transaction at $4811.03, now +26.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for NVR Inc (NVR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NVR on Trend Edge →