MHO — M/I Homes Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MHO Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 39, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About M/I Homes Inc

M/I Homes, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction and sale of single-family residential homes in Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. The company operates through Northern Homebuilding, Southern Homebuilding, and Financial Services segments. It also designs, constructs, markets, and sells single-family homes and attached townhomes to first-time, move-up, empty-nest… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$154.21
Market Cap$3.91B
Float24.7M
Shares Outstanding25.3M
P/E (Forward)11.67
P/E (TTM)12.98
Price/Sales (TTM)0.89
vs. Analyst Target+10.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.28%
Revenue (TTM)$4.26B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-31.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$170.67 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.05B $240M $685M $335M
2021 $3.75B $397M $909M $526M
2022 $4.13B $491M $1.04B $652M
2023 $4.03B $465M $1.01B $622M
2024 $4.50B $564M $1.20B $749M
2025 $4.42B $403M $1.02B $567M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.13B $106M
Dec 2025 $1.15B $64.0M
Mar 2026 $921M $67.8M
Jun 2026 $1.06B $79.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.2%
Institutional Ownership102.0%
Short Float5.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.96%
Number of Funds Holding348

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$152.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$137.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$130.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$116.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$138.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$130.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$126.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$135.00 support 1.19x 1 months ago
$164.00 resistance 1.13x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.18% 0.01% 50.00% 4.75% -4.69%
1 Day 0.42% 0.38% 53.28% 16.33% -12.41%
1 Week 0.19% -0.36% 46.72% 16.09% -17.06%
2 Weeks -0.32% -0.07% 48.36% 18.91% -39.91%
1 Month 0.19% 1.38% 54.55% 29.50% -43.47%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%36.4%33
Feb-2.0%36.4%33
Mar0.7%60.6%33
Apr8.3%63.6%33
May0.3%57.6%33
Jun0.5%48.5%33
Jul4.7%54.5%33
Aug0.4%56.3%32
Sep-3.0%40.6%32
Oct1.0%59.4%32
Nov2.3%62.5%32
Dec4.7%60.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 45.4% 1553
Tuesday 0.12% 46.5% 1695
Wednesday 0.22% 49.2% 1693
Thursday 0.16% 49.7% 1661
Friday 0.03% 46.5% 1653

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$17.3M
Net Shares Change34,472
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings17
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
CREEK PHILLIP G Ex. Vice President and CFO -$8.5M 6 6 sell
SCHOTTENSTEIN ROBERT H Chairman, CEO & President -$2.2M 1 1 sell
KRAMER NANCY J -$228,774.328 1 1 sell
Krohne Susan E Chief Legal Officer, Secretary -$72,080.273 1 1 sell
HUNKER ANN MARIE Principal Accounting Officer -$19,377.996 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-13 7 4 -$7.0M 7 C-suite
2026-02-17 – 2026-02-23 8 4 -$5.3M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-06 CREEK PHILLIP G Ex. Vice President and CFO -$3.0M Transaction at $100.41, now +53.6%
2026-08-04 CREEK PHILLIP G Ex. Vice President and CFO -$2.0M Transaction at $98.30, now +56.9%
2026-02-17 CREEK PHILLIP G Ex. Vice President and CFO -$1.6M Transaction at $149.03, now +3.5%
2026-02-13 SCHOTTENSTEIN ROBERT H Chairman, CEO & President -$2.2M Transaction at $146.80, now +5.0%
2026-02-13 CREEK PHILLIP G Ex. Vice President and CFO -$1.3M Transaction at $146.80, now +5.0%
2026-02-13 Krohne Susan E Chief Legal Officer, Secretary -$72,080.273 Transaction at $146.80, now +5.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for M/I Homes Inc (MHO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MHO on Trend Edge →