CVCO — Cavco Industries Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CVCO Bullish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 40, actionability 15. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability15 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Cavco Industries Inc

Cavco Industries, Inc. designs, produces, and retails factory-built homes primarily in the United States. It operates in two segments: Factory-Built Housing and Financial Services. The company produces park model RVs; vacation cabins; and factory-built commercial structures, including apartment buildings, condominiums, hotels, workforce housing, schools, and housing for the United States military troops. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$526.08
Market Cap$4.22B
Float7.6M
Shares Outstanding7.7M
P/E (Forward)29.50
P/E (TTM)23.87
Price/Sales (TTM)1.84
vs. Analyst Target+26.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.85%
Revenue (TTM)$2.30B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-15.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$665.00 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.11B $76.6M $239M $104M
2022 $1.63B $198M $409M $224M
2023 $2.14B $241M $555M $325M
2024 $1.79B $158M $427M $219M
2025 $2.02B $171M $466M $231M
2026 $2.24B $191M $527M $268M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $557M $52.4M
Dec 2025 $581M $44.1M
Mar 2026 $550M $42.5M
Jun 2026 $610M $42.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership103.7%
Short Float4.7%
% of All Funds Holding4.05%
Number of Funds Holding356

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$558.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$551.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$533.73Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$426.99Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$540.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$525.83Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$451.68Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$430.00 support 1.43x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.43% -0.11% 46.24% 11.77% -11.16%
1 Day 0.98% 0.88% 55.91% 19.15% -23.05%
1 Week 1.90% 2.03% 61.29% 23.73% -18.34%
2 Weeks 2.06% 2.42% 60.22% 24.02% -21.88%
1 Month 2.43% 2.43% 55.43% 32.19% -34.46%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (16 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.7%56.5%23
Feb2.7%60.9%23
Mar0.4%56.5%23
Apr1.1%47.8%23
May0.9%47.8%23
Jun3.5%69.6%23
Jul2.3%56.5%23
Aug1.3%50.0%24
Sep0.7%54.2%24
Oct3.3%56.5%23
Nov4.2%65.2%23
Dec0.2%39.1%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 50.4% 1097
Tuesday 0.21% 50.9% 1203
Wednesday 0.11% 51.0% 1204
Thursday 0.13% 51.4% 1179
Friday 0.03% 49.9% 1173

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$1.6M
Net Shares Change-2,640
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ADEN ALLISON EVP, CFO & Treasurer -$979,418.04 2 1 sell
KERLEY RICHARD A -$578,875 2 2 sell
Boor William C President & CEO +$495,000 1 1 buy
BIGBEE PAUL Chief Accounting Officer -$310,014 2 2 sell
Greenblatt David A. +$234,725 1 1 buy
MOSTER STEVEN W +$136,869 1 1 buy
CIRA BRIAN R President,Manufactured Housing -$15,784.27 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-05 3 3 +$866,594 1 C-suite
2026-05-19 – 2026-06-01 3 3 -$182,127.31 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-19 BIGBEE PAUL Chief Accounting Officer -$202,464 Transaction at $592.00, now -11.1%
2026-02-05 Boor William C President & CEO +$495,000 Transaction at $495.00, now +6.3%
2026-06-01 BIGBEE PAUL Chief Accounting Officer -$107,550 Transaction at $537.75, now -2.2%
2026-05-26 CIRA BRIAN R President,Manufactured Housing -$15,784.27 Transaction at $509.17, now +3.3%
2026-05-19 ADEN ALLISON EVP, CFO & Treasurer -$58,793.04 Transaction at $455.76, now +15.4%
2026-02-05 Greenblatt David A. +$234,725 Transaction at $469.45, now +12.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CVCO on Trend Edge →