BZH — Beazer Homes USA Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BZH Bullish with a Setup Score of 37, net conviction 33, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score37
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Beazer Homes USA Inc

Beazer Homes USA, Inc. operates as a homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, constructs, and sells single-family, condominiums, villas, and duets homes under the Beazer Homes, Gatherings, and Choice Plans brands. It also sells its homes through commissioned new home sales counselors and independent realtors. Beazer Homes USA, Inc. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$33.19
Market Cap$884M
Float23.6M
Shares Outstanding26.7M
P/E (Forward)17.42
Price/Sales (TTM)0.42
vs. Analyst Target-17.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.75%
Revenue (TTM)$2.08B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-39.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$27.50 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.13B $52.2M $348M $94.7M
2021 $2.14B $122M $404M $248M
2022 $2.32B $221M $538M $287M
2023 $2.21B $159M $443M $263M
2024 $2.33B $140M $424M $174M
2025 $2.37B $45.6M $338M $60.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $792M $30.0M
Dec 2025 $363M -$32.6M
Mar 2026 $410M -$904,000
Jun 2026 $516M -$4.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.0%
Institutional Ownership94.8%
Short Float11.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.11%
Number of Funds Holding186

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.14Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$24.98Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.60 support 1.99x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.00% 46.34% 13.74% -14.87%
1 Day 0.08% -0.14% 47.15% 27.72% -23.02%
1 Week 0.16% -0.03% 47.97% 27.79% -27.53%
2 Weeks 0.19% 1.21% 55.28% 36.29% -31.81%
1 Month 0.11% 0.76% 50.82% 49.34% -43.97%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.1%43.8%32
Feb-3.8%46.9%32
Mar0.2%45.5%33
Apr9.9%57.6%33
May0.7%57.6%33
Jun-1.6%48.5%33
Jul3.5%48.5%33
Aug0.8%50.0%32
Sep-1.9%43.8%32
Oct-0.1%50.0%32
Nov7.5%71.9%32
Dec3.2%56.3%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 44.6% 1538
Tuesday 0.22% 48.3% 1679
Wednesday 0.20% 49.1% 1677
Thursday 0.07% 47.0% 1646
Friday -0.02% 47.2% 1638

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BZH on Trend Edge →