VLY — Valley National Bancorp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VLY Bullish with a Setup Score of 16, net conviction 24, actionability 11. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score16
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability11 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Valley National Bancorp

Valley National Bancorp operates as the holding company for Valley National Bank that provides various commercial, private banking, retail, insurance, and wealth management financial services products. The company operates through Consumer Banking, Commercial Banking, and Treasury and Corporate other segments. It offers non-interest bearing, savings, NOW, money market, and time deposit accounts; commercial and industrial, commercial real estate, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.66
Market Cap$8.08B
Float546.4M
Shares Outstanding554.1M
P/E (Forward)11.71
P/E (TTM)13.14
Price/Sales (TTM)4.17
vs. Analyst Target+9.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin33.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.42%
Revenue (TTM)$1.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)58.10%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$16.11 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.57B $391M $1.18B $612M
2021 $1.49B $474M $1.33B $692M
2022 $2.18B $569M $1.81B $860M
2023 $3.35B $499M $1.83B $762M
2024 $3.57B $380M $1.53B $517M
2025 $3.49B $598M $1.88B $813M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $868M $133M
Sep 2025 $892M $163M
Dec 2025 $892M $195M
Mar 2026 $872M $164M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership90.1%
Short Float7.3%
% of All Funds Holding5.23%
Number of Funds Holding430

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.95Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.95Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.13Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.90Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.00 support 1.37x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 45.45% 4.06% -5.02%
1 Day 0.09% 0.00% 46.28% 7.82% -5.79%
1 Week 0.43% 0.26% 50.41% 17.87% -14.70%
2 Weeks 0.82% 0.95% 57.85% 16.36% -26.04%
1 Month 1.10% 0.56% 59.50% 24.32% -22.48%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (12 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%41.7%36
Feb0.5%61.1%36
Mar1.5%52.8%36
Apr1.8%59.5%37
May-1.6%45.9%37
Jun-1.0%43.2%37
Jul2.3%47.2%36
Aug-0.5%55.6%36
Sep-0.3%44.4%36
Oct0.9%55.6%36
Nov3.8%63.9%36
Dec1.0%50.0%36

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 45.6% 1723
Tuesday 0.04% 47.0% 1875
Wednesday 0.01% 45.0% 1872
Thursday 0.01% 46.6% 1838
Friday 0.10% 48.5% 1827

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$832,014.44
Net Shares Change-22,995
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BARRETT RUSSELL SEVP, Chief Operating Officer -$459,022.59 1 1 sell
CRANDELL MITCHELL L EVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$372,991.85 1 1 sell
VAZQUEZ CARLOS J +$33,612.5 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 CRANDELL MITCHELL L EVP & Chief Accounting Officer -$372,991.85 Transaction at $14.63, now +0.2%
2026-04-28 BARRETT RUSSELL SEVP, Chief Operating Officer -$459,022.59 Transaction at $11.00, now +33.2%
2026-02-18 VAZQUEZ CARLOS J +$33,612.5 Transaction at $13.45, now +9.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Valley National Bancorp (VLY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VLY on Trend Edge →