WAL — Western Alliance Bancorporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Western Alliance Bancorporation

Western Alliance Bancorporation operates as the bank holding company for Western Alliance Bank that provides various banking products and related services primarily in Arizona, California, and Nevada. It operates through Commercial and Consumer Related segments. The company offers deposit products, including demand deposit, checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as fixed-rate and fixed maturity certificates of deposit accounts; tre… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$78.64
Market Cap$8.57B
Float102.0M
Shares Outstanding109.2M
P/E (Forward)7.41
P/E (TTM)9.14
Price/Sales (TTM)2.54
vs. Analyst Target+13.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.18%
Operating Margin (TTM)31.77%
Revenue (TTM)$3.38B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-7.80%
Dividend Rate1.7%
Analyst Target Price$88.93 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.33B $507M $1.12B $657M
2021 $1.84B $899M $1.84B $1.17B
2022 $2.30B $1.06B $2.30B $1.39B
2023 $2.13B $722M $1.70B $1.02B
2024 $5.02B $788M $2.95B $1.11B
2025 $5.28B $969M $3.22B $1.21B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.28B $230M
Sep 2025 $1.40B $253M
Dec 2025 $1.41B $286M
Mar 2026 $1.44B $189M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.7%
Institutional Ownership87.1%
Short Float0.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.06%
Number of Funds Holding416

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$76.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$82.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$81.26Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$68.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$81.97Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$81.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$69.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$88.00 resistance 1.18x 2 months ago
$63.00 support 1.04x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.27% 0.37% 55.95% 6.78% -6.42%
1 Day 1.56% 1.46% 64.29% 19.37% -11.05%
1 Week 2.69% 1.98% 60.71% 26.04% -23.25%
2 Weeks 3.54% 2.74% 63.10% 80.47% -34.67%
1 Month 2.20% 1.82% 55.42% 40.69% -42.18%

Next earnings: July 16, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.7%57.1%21
Feb-0.7%47.6%21
Mar-4.6%47.6%21
Apr7.1%66.7%21
May-1.7%40.0%20
Jun-1.6%40.0%20
Jul6.3%65.0%20
Aug0.1%52.4%21
Sep-0.1%47.6%21
Oct1.1%52.4%21
Nov3.9%61.9%21
Dec0.7%47.6%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 48.4% 984
Tuesday 0.19% 51.4% 1080
Wednesday 0.14% 50.0% 1079
Thursday 0.11% 49.9% 1058
Friday 0.04% 50.8% 1055

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings116
Net Value-$4.4M
Net Shares Change2,732
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings115
Clusters Detected12

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Vecchione Kenneth President and CEO -$116,913.82 1 1 sell
GIBBONS DALE Vice Chair and CBO, Deposits -$54,028.92 1 1 sell
Curley Stephen Russell Chief Banking Ofc.-NBL -$32,744.8 1 1 sell
Bruckner Tim R CBO for Regional Banking -$30,884.3 1 1 sell
Kennedy Barbara Chief Human Resources Officer -$19,125.94 1 1 sell
Boothe Timothy W Chief Administration Officer -$17,488.7 1 1 sell
Nachlas Emily Chief Risk Officer -$14,065.38 1 1 sell
Jarvi Jessica H CLO and Secretary -$12,502.56 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-17 – 2025-06-17 11 9 -$258,711.81 11 C-suite
2025-07-17 – 2025-07-25 9 8 -$401,964.27 9 C-suite
2025-08-18 – 2025-08-18 9 9 -$220,160.85 9 C-suite
2025-09-17 – 2025-09-17 9 9 -$237,496.35 9 C-suite
2025-10-17 – 2025-10-30 10 9 +$97,733.72 10 C-suite
2025-11-18 – 2025-11-18 9 9 -$208,479.39 9 C-suite
2025-12-16 – 2025-12-16 10 10 -$2.2M 9 C-suite
2026-01-20 – 2026-01-20 9 9 -$239,576.61 9 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-02-18 10 10 -$1.8M 10 C-suite
2026-03-17 – 2026-03-17 10 10 -$286,017.76 10 C-suite
2026-04-17 – 2026-04-17 10 10 -$318,907.62 10 C-suite
2026-05-19 – 2026-05-19 10 10 -$313,159.36 10 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-19 Vecchione Kenneth President and CEO -$116,913.82 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%
2026-05-19 Nachlas Emily Chief Risk Officer -$14,065.38 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%
2026-05-19 Kennedy Barbara Chief Human Resources Officer -$19,125.94 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%
2026-05-19 Jarvi Jessica H CLO and Secretary -$12,502.56 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%
2026-05-19 Idnani Vishal Chief Financial Officer -$9,153.66 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%
2026-05-19 Herndon Lynne Chief Credit Officer -$6,251.28 Transaction at $74.42, now +5.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WAL on Trend Edge →