FLG — Flagstar Financial, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FLG Bearish with a Setup Score of 7, net conviction 24, actionability 2. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score7
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction24
Actionability2 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Flagstar Financial, Inc.

Flagstar Bank, National Association provides banking products and services in the United States. The company's deposit products include interest-bearing checking and money market, savings, and non-interest-bearing accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It offers loan products comprising multi-family loans; commercial real estate loans; acquisition, development, and construction loans; commercial and industrial loans; one-to-four family loa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.44
Market Cap$5.60B
Float299.8M
Shares Outstanding415.1M
P/E (Forward)32.57
P/E (TTM)449.67
Price/Sales (TTM)2.76
vs. Analyst Target+21.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)20.28%
Revenue (TTM)$2.03B
Dividend Rate0.0%
Analyst Target Price$16.26 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.77B $511M $1.10B $612M
2021 $1.75B $596M $1.35B $827M
2022 $2.18B $650M $1.35B $849M
2023 $6.05B -$79.0M $2.80B $115M
2024 $6.38B -$1.12B $1.49B -$1.19B
2025 $4.70B -$177M $1.77B -$50.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.16B -$36.0M
Dec 2025 $1.11B $29.0M
Mar 2026 $1.04B $21.0M
Jun 2026 $921M $32.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership89.4%
Short Float11.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.51%
Number of Funds Holding397

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$13.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.90Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.45Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.29% 0.16% 55.00% 6.35% -1.81%
1 Day 0.05% 0.19% 51.00% 10.44% -11.13%
1 Week -0.57% -0.19% 49.00% 11.30% -35.24%
2 Weeks -0.42% -0.12% 49.00% 19.53% -23.80%
1 Month -0.59% 0.39% 54.55% 23.27% -50.23%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%60.6%33
Feb-0.6%54.5%33
Mar-0.4%51.5%33
Apr1.2%51.5%33
May0.4%42.4%33
Jun-0.9%45.5%33
Jul4.6%63.6%33
Aug-0.7%53.1%32
Sep-0.2%50.0%32
Oct0.3%46.9%32
Nov1.8%56.3%32
Dec1.4%54.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 47.9% 1550
Tuesday 0.10% 48.9% 1692
Wednesday 0.04% 50.0% 1691
Thursday -0.02% 46.7% 1658
Friday 0.11% 50.0% 1650

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+$8,997.18
Net Shares Change753
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Raffetto Richard A SEVP Pres of Com & Priv Bnking +$8,997.18 1 2 buy, 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-06 Raffetto Richard A SEVP Pres of Com & Priv Bnking +$8,997.18 Transaction at $12.53, now +7.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Flagstar Financial, Inc. (FLG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FLG on Trend Edge →