NU — Nu Holdings Ltd

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NU Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 38, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Nu Holdings Ltd

Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and recei… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.88
Market Cap$68.64B
Float3.73B
Shares Outstanding3.81B
P/E (Forward)20.28
P/E (TTM)19.47
Price/Sales (TTM)8.13
vs. Analyst Target+25.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.62%
Revenue (TTM)$19.38B
Earnings Growth (YoY)66.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$18.63 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $737M -$171M $496M $29.3M
2021 $1.70B -$165M $1.21B $215M
2022 $4.79B -$365M $3.07B $1.27B
2023 $7.67B $1.03B $3.35B $1.60B
2024 $11.10B $1.97B $5.10B $2.87B
2025 $15.88B $2.87B $7.12B $3.97B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $4.17B $782M
Dec 2025 $4.70B $892M
Mar 2026 $4.98B $872M
Jun 2026 $5.52B $1.06B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.0%
Institutional Ownership82.0%
Short Float3.9%
% of All Funds Holding9.62%
Number of Funds Holding846

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.11Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.04Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.14Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.70 resistance 1.08x 5 months ago
$12.20 support 1.01x 11 months ago
$12.10 support 1.46x 13 months ago
$10.30 support 1.31x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.62% 0.38% 50.00% 12.99% -10.72%
1 Day -2.11% -2.11% 45.00% 12.87% -18.89%
1 Week -3.81% -5.86% 35.00% 16.07% -23.45%
2 Weeks -3.06% -7.81% 42.11% 23.23% -19.88%
1 Month -2.47% -5.71% 31.58% 32.89% -25.19%

Next earnings: November 1, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 53.2% 220
Tuesday 0.21% 49.2% 244
Wednesday 0.24% 53.7% 242
Thursday -0.06% 47.9% 236
Friday 0.03% 51.5% 237

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.0%

Founder-led management: David Vélez (Founder, Chairman & CEO), Cristina Junqueira (Co-Founder & Chief Growth Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$10.1M
Net Shares Change-682,707
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti US CEO & Chief Growth Officer -$6.6M 3 2 sell
Fragelli Henrique Camossa Saldanha Chief Risk Officer -$3.5M 1 1 sell
Sands Anita M -$257,042.1 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Fragelli Henrique Camossa Saldanha Chief Risk Officer -$3.5M Transaction at $15.81, now -5.9%
2026-08-18 Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti US CEO & Chief Growth Officer -$790,000 Transaction at $15.80, now -5.8%
2026-03-25 Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti US CEO & Chief Growth Officer -$4.4M Transaction at $14.81, now +0.4%
2026-05-19 Sands Anita M -$257,042.1 Transaction at $12.24, now +21.6%
2026-08-26 Junqueira Cristina Helena Zingaretti US CEO & Chief Growth Officer -$1.3M Transaction at $14.86, now +0.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nu Holdings Ltd (NU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NU on Trend Edge →