UNP — Union Pacific Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. It offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, and ethanol and renewable biofuel producers; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$264.65
Market Cap$157.27B
Float592.4M
Shares Outstanding593.7M
P/E (Forward)21.46
P/E (TTM)21.80
Price/Sales (TTM)6.37
vs. Analyst Target+10.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.36%
Revenue (TTM)$24.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)6.20%
Dividend Rate5.5%
Analyst Target Price$291.00 (29 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $19.53B $5.35B $9.18B $10.33B
2021 $21.80B $6.52B $10.51B $11.84B
2022 $24.88B $7.00B $11.21B $12.64B
2023 $24.12B $6.38B $10.53B $11.93B
2024 $24.25B $6.75B $11.04B $12.50B
2025 $24.51B $7.14B $14.55B $12.95B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.15B $1.88B
Sep 2025 $6.24B $1.79B
Dec 2025 $6.08B $1.85B
Mar 2026 $6.22B $1.70B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership89.2%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding32.04%
Number of Funds Holding2,474

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$251.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$236.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$234.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$226.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$242.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$237.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$231.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.27% 0.00% 49.59% 9.87% -5.58%
1 Day 0.68% 0.39% 55.28% 10.42% -6.80%
1 Week 1.22% 0.80% 56.91% 12.83% -11.75%
2 Weeks 2.04% 1.94% 60.98% 21.59% -11.57%
1 Month 1.91% 2.54% 63.93% 22.38% -16.48%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%45.7%46
Feb0.3%59.6%47
Mar1.3%57.4%47
Apr2.2%57.4%47
May1.0%58.7%46
Jun-0.9%37.0%46
Jul2.6%63.0%46
Aug-0.4%43.5%46
Sep-0.6%50.0%46
Oct2.6%60.9%46
Nov2.6%63.0%46
Dec1.4%65.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.0% 2208
Tuesday 0.07% 48.7% 2395
Wednesday 0.07% 48.6% 2393
Thursday 0.07% 49.3% 2348
Friday 0.10% 51.5% 2334

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$5.1M
Net Shares Change-35,899
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rocker Kenyatta G EVP MARKETING and SALES -$3.0M 2 2 sell
Hamann Jennifer L EVP and CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Gehringer Eric J EVP OPERATIONS -$469,625.07 2 1 sell
Jalali Rahul EVP and CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICE -$314,618.58 1 1 sell
Powers Carrie J VP and CONTROLLER -$59,261.22 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-11 5 5 -$1.5M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-11 Jalali Rahul EVP and CHIEF INFORMATION OFFICE -$314,618.58 Transaction at $254.34, now +4.1%
2026-04-28 Rocker Kenyatta G EVP MARKETING and SALES -$2.6M Transaction at $223.62, now +18.3%
2026-04-28 Hamann Jennifer L EVP and CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$549,400 Transaction at $274.70, now -3.7%
2026-02-11 Hamann Jennifer L EVP and CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$681,631.2 Transaction at $254.34, now +4.1%
2026-02-10 Rocker Kenyatta G EVP MARKETING and SALES -$400,839.84 Transaction at $254.34, now +4.1%
2026-02-11 Powers Carrie J VP and CONTROLLER -$59,261.22 Transaction at $254.34, now +4.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UNP on Trend Edge →