TRN — Trinity Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TRN Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 35, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Trinity Industries Inc

Trinity Industries, Inc. provides railcar products and services under the TrinityRail trade name in North America. The company operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet leasing, management, and administrative services, as well as railcar ma… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.52
Market Cap$2.02B
Float78.4M
Shares Outstanding79.7M
P/E (Forward)20.08
P/E (TTM)5.96
Price/Sales (TTM)0.99
vs. Analyst Target+29.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.12%
Revenue (TTM)$2.04B
Earnings Growth (YoY)619.50%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$33.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.75B -$147M $422M -$55.1M
2021 $1.52B $182M $355M $512M
2022 $1.98B $60.1M $368M $612M
2023 $2.98B $106M $527M $708M
2024 $3.08B $138M $668M $789M
2025 $2.16B $253M $573M $955M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $454M $30.3M
Dec 2025 $611M $187M
Mar 2026 $492M $24.2M
Jun 2026 $485M $102M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership98.3%
Short Float5.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.89%
Number of Funds Holding342

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$31.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$29.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$28.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.80 resistance 1.15x 2 months ago
$23.10 support 1.33x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.20% 0.03% 52.42% 5.05% -5.07%
1 Day -0.04% 0.12% 50.00% 11.07% -8.97%
1 Week 0.16% -0.07% 49.19% 18.24% -20.73%
2 Weeks 0.44% 0.09% 50.81% 22.48% -23.81%
1 Month 0.43% 0.41% 50.81% 28.28% -30.56%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.6%52.9%51
Feb1.5%56.9%51
Mar1.8%56.9%51
Apr1.9%47.1%51
May0.8%43.1%51
Jun0.6%54.9%51
Jul1.3%52.9%51
Aug0.9%49.0%51
Sep0.8%49.0%51
Oct-1.0%46.0%50
Nov4.3%66.0%50
Dec3.4%56.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 45.0% 2402
Tuesday 0.02% 46.3% 2605
Wednesday 0.10% 47.0% 2606
Thursday 0.06% 46.4% 2556
Friday 0.16% 48.9% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$502,350
Net Shares Change-17,000
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Poet Kevin EVP Operations & Support Svcs -$502,350 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-26 Poet Kevin EVP Operations & Support Svcs -$502,350 Transaction at $29.55, now -13.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TRN on Trend Edge →