GBX — Greenbrier Companies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Greenbrier Companies Inc

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. It operates through Manufacturing, and Leasing & Management Services. The Manufacturing segment offers covered hopper cars, gondolas, open top hoppers, boxcars, center partition cars, tank cars, sustainable conversions, intermodal railcars, and railcar equipment; reconditioning of wheels and axles, new axle… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$48.32
Market Cap$1.51B
Float30.1M
Shares Outstanding30.9M
P/E (Forward)11.06
P/E (TTM)10.24
Price/Sales (TTM)0.52
vs. Analyst Target-7.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.12%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.06%
Revenue (TTM)$2.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-69.90%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$44.67 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.79B $49.0M $355M $274M
2021 $1.75B $32.5M $232M $131M
2022 $2.98B $46.9M $306M $214M
2023 $3.94B $62.5M $442M $312M
2024 $3.54B $160M $553M $450M
2025 $3.23B $204M $600M $518M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
May 2025 $840M $60.1M
Aug 2025 $756M $36.8M
Nov 2025 $706M $36.4M
Feb 2026 $588M $12.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.5%
Institutional Ownership104.3%
Short Float8.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.88%
Number of Funds Holding237

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$48.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.08Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$44.80Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$48.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$51.19Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$47.09Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$64.00 resistance 1.22x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (120 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.31% 0.11% 52.50% 14.36% -8.02%
1 Day 0.20% -0.17% 45.83% 21.09% -13.86%
1 Week 1.44% 0.00% 48.33% 66.24% -27.10%
2 Weeks 0.80% -0.77% 47.50% 69.03% -39.68%
1 Month 2.32% 0.62% 53.33% 87.00% -39.01%

Next earnings: July 7, 2026 (40 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.2%37.5%32
Feb3.0%56.3%32
Mar0.4%53.1%32
Apr2.8%46.9%32
May2.8%58.1%31
Jun-0.0%51.6%31
Jul4.7%58.1%31
Aug-2.7%31.3%32
Sep1.0%53.1%32
Oct1.8%46.9%32
Nov3.4%53.1%32
Dec1.1%59.4%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 44.5% 1507
Tuesday 0.08% 47.2% 1647
Wednesday 0.08% 47.2% 1645
Thursday 0.19% 47.5% 1612
Friday 0.04% 46.9% 1608

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$489,430.119
Net Shares Change-14,826
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Krueger William J. SVP, COO, The Americas -$492,000 2 1 sell
FARGO THOMAS B -$204,854.555 1 1 sell
Felton Wanda F -$198,341.216 1 1 sell
Huffines James R +$112,108.25 1 1 buy
Lucky Christian SVP, CLO and CCO +$2,035.564 1 1 buy
Meyer Matthew Joseph SVP, Finance and CAO +$534.316 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-02 – 2025-07-11 3 3 -$595,195.771 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-05 Meyer Matthew Joseph SVP, Finance and CAO +$534.316 Transaction at $46.15, now +4.7%
2025-09-05 Lucky Christian SVP, CLO and CCO +$2,035.564 Transaction at $49.61, now -2.6%
2026-02-02 Krueger William J. SVP, COO, The Americas -$300,000 Transaction at $50.00, now -3.4%
2025-08-11 Huffines James R +$112,108.25 Transaction at $44.84, now +7.8%
2025-07-11 Felton Wanda F -$198,341.216 Transaction at $54.31, now -11.0%
2025-07-10 FARGO THOMAS B -$204,854.555 Transaction at $54.97, now -12.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GBX on Trend Edge →