GBX — Greenbrier Companies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates GBX Bearish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 41, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Greenbrier Companies Inc

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America, Europe, and South America. It operates through Manufacturing, and Leasing & Management Services. The Manufacturing segment offers covered hopper cars, gondolas, open top hoppers, boxcars, center partition cars, tank cars, sustainable conversions, intermodal railcars, and railcar equipment; reconditioning of wheels and axles, new axle… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$47.30
Market Cap$1.44B
Float30.1M
Shares Outstanding30.9M
P/E (Forward)11.06
P/E (TTM)13.80
Price/Sales (TTM)0.55
vs. Analyst Target-4.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.49%
Revenue (TTM)$2.63B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-67.70%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$45.33 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.79B $49.0M $355M $274M
2021 $1.75B $32.5M $232M $131M
2022 $2.98B $46.9M $306M $214M
2023 $3.94B $62.5M $442M $312M
2024 $3.54B $160M $553M $450M
2025 $3.23B $204M $600M $518M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $756M $36.8M
Nov 2025 $706M $36.4M
Feb 2026 $588M $12.8M
May 2026 -$1.29B $17.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.6%
Institutional Ownership103.9%
Short Float9.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.88%
Number of Funds Holding237

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$48.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$48.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$49.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$45.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$48.50Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$49.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$47.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$64.00 resistance 1.22x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.30% 0.10% 52.07% 14.36% -8.02%
1 Day 0.19% -0.23% 45.45% 21.09% -13.86%
1 Week 1.42% 0.00% 47.93% 66.24% -27.10%
2 Weeks 0.80% -0.77% 47.50% 69.03% -39.68%
1 Month 2.32% 0.62% 53.33% 87.00% -39.01%

Next earnings: September 19, 2026 (69 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.2%37.5%32
Feb3.0%56.3%32
Mar0.4%53.1%32
Apr2.8%46.9%32
May2.6%56.3%32
Jun0.1%53.1%32
Jul4.7%58.1%31
Aug-2.7%31.3%32
Sep1.0%53.1%32
Oct1.8%46.9%32
Nov3.4%53.1%32
Dec1.1%59.4%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 44.6% 1513
Tuesday 0.08% 47.3% 1652
Wednesday 0.08% 47.1% 1651
Thursday 0.19% 47.5% 1618
Friday 0.04% 47.0% 1612

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$297,430.119
Net Shares Change-3,447
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Krueger William J. SVP, COO, The Americas -$300,000 1 1 sell
Huffines James R +$112,108.25 1 1 buy
Lucky Christian SVP, CLO and CCO +$2,035.564 1 1 buy
Meyer Matthew Joseph SVP, Finance & CAO +$534.316 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-05 Meyer Matthew Joseph SVP, Finance & CAO +$534.316 Transaction at $46.15, now +2.5%
2025-09-05 Lucky Christian SVP, CLO and CCO +$2,035.564 Transaction at $49.61, now -4.7%
2026-02-02 Krueger William J. SVP, COO, The Americas -$300,000 Transaction at $50.00, now -5.4%
2025-08-11 Huffines James R +$112,108.25 Transaction at $44.84, now +5.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Greenbrier Companies Inc (GBX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GBX on Trend Edge →