CSX — CSX Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CSX Bullish with a Setup Score of 23, net conviction 41, actionability 13. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score23
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability13 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About CSX Corporation

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: rail and trucking. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$49.41
Market Cap$91.70B
Float1.85B
Shares Outstanding1.86B
P/E (Forward)25.77
P/E (TTM)30.28
Price/Sales (TTM)6.48
vs. Analyst Target-3.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)36.16%
Revenue (TTM)$14.15B
Earnings Growth (YoY)26.50%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$47.48 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $10.58B $2.77B $4.44B $5.76B
2021 $12.52B $3.78B $5.29B $7.09B
2022 $14.85B $4.11B $5.72B $7.59B
2023 $14.66B $3.67B $5.60B $7.27B
2024 $14.54B $3.47B $5.51B $7.07B
2025 $14.09B $2.89B $4.68B $5.87B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.57B $829M
Sep 2025 $3.59B $694M
Dec 2025 $3.51B $720M
Mar 2026 $3.48B $807M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership81.9%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding21.47%
Number of Funds Holding1,765

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$46.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$41.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$36.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$28.10 support 1.10x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.44% 0.25% 54.55% 6.97% -7.79%
1 Day 0.49% 0.72% 56.20% 7.85% -10.99%
1 Week 0.86% 0.42% 53.72% 25.47% -12.99%
2 Weeks 1.27% 0.49% 56.20% 23.63% -15.00%
1 Month 1.60% 1.48% 55.83% 37.80% -19.94%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (11 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%60.9%46
Feb0.2%50.0%46
Mar1.2%60.9%46
Apr3.1%63.0%46
May1.5%58.7%46
Jun-0.4%41.3%46
Jul2.2%62.2%45
Aug-1.2%40.0%45
Sep-1.3%46.7%45
Oct2.4%57.8%45
Nov2.6%62.2%45
Dec0.8%52.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 47.4% 2175
Tuesday 0.06% 47.2% 2361
Wednesday 0.08% 48.7% 2359
Thursday 0.10% 50.8% 2313
Friday 0.09% 50.0% 2299

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$5.7M
Net Shares Change3,333
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Sorfleet Diana B EVP & CAO -$4.4M 2 2 sell
Boone Kevin S. EVP & CFO -$3.8M 2 2 sell
ANGEL STEPHEN F President & CEO +$3.0M 2 2 buy
ZILLMER JOHN J -$464,500 1 1 sell
Burns Michael S. SVP - CLO & Corp Secy -$403,331.192 1 1 sell
Fortune Stephen EVP - CD & TO -$219,562.88 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-10-21 – 2025-10-24 3 3 +$1.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-06 ANGEL STEPHEN F President & CEO +$1.0M Transaction at $40.27, now +22.7%
2026-06-05 Boone Kevin S. EVP & CFO -$3.2M Transaction at $35.05, now +41.0%
2026-06-04 ZILLMER JOHN J -$464,500 Transaction at $46.45, now +6.4%
2025-10-21 ANGEL STEPHEN F President & CEO +$2.0M Transaction at $36.87, now +34.0%
2026-01-28 Sorfleet Diana B EVP & CAO -$2.5M Transaction at $37.48, now +31.8%
2026-02-20 Sorfleet Diana B EVP & CAO -$1.9M Transaction at $30.97, now +59.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CSX Corporation (CSX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CSX on Trend Edge →