NSC — Norfolk Southern Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates NSC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Norfolk Southern Corporation

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood p… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$352.98
Market Cap$77.85B
Float224.2M
Shares Outstanding224.6M
P/E (Forward)27.47
P/E (TTM)29.50
Price/Sales (TTM)6.21
vs. Analyst Target+3.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.02%
Operating Margin (TTM)35.30%
Revenue (TTM)$12.54B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.40%
Dividend Rate5.4%
Analyst Target Price$365.28 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.79B $2.01B $3.40B $4.31B
2021 $11.14B $3.00B $4.37B $5.71B
2022 $12.74B $3.27B $4.73B $6.04B
2023 $12.16B $1.83B $6.10B $2.85B
2024 $12.12B $2.62B $3.76B $5.49B
2025 $12.18B $2.87B $5.17B $5.85B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $3.10B $711M
Dec 2025 $2.97B $644M
Mar 2026 $3.00B $547M
Jun 2026 $3.46B $734M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.0%
Institutional Ownership77.9%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding21.02%
Number of Funds Holding1,849

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$336.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$309.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$284.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$253.69Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$309.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$285.22Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$258.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$278.00 support 1.14x 10 months ago
$256.00 support 2.07x 12 months ago
$224.00 support 1.06x 14 months ago
$215.00 support 1.01x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.06% 51.61% 8.57% -7.55%
1 Day 0.67% 0.29% 54.03% 10.91% -9.14%
1 Week 1.31% 0.54% 54.03% 19.75% -10.00%
2 Weeks 1.97% 1.18% 60.48% 30.50% -15.49%
1 Month 1.55% 1.84% 59.35% 36.38% -23.59%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%50.0%44
Feb0.7%61.4%44
Mar0.7%54.5%44
Apr2.5%56.8%44
May1.2%56.8%44
Jun-0.6%43.2%44
Jul2.6%60.0%45
Aug-0.1%47.7%44
Sep-0.2%52.3%44
Oct2.0%54.5%44
Nov2.4%65.9%44
Dec0.7%59.1%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 48.6% 2104
Tuesday 0.03% 47.7% 2286
Wednesday 0.01% 48.9% 2283
Thursday 0.11% 50.0% 2242
Friday 0.14% 50.6% 2229

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$253,441.71
Net Shares Change3,554
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ANDERSON RICHARD H +$732,823 1 1 buy
Fahmy Sameh +$466,900.5 1 1 buy
Bhatt Anil EVP & CIDO -$253,441.71 1 1 sell
Clyburn William Jr. +$60,137.466 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-06 Fahmy Sameh +$466,900.5 Transaction at $282.97, now +24.7%
2025-10-28 ANDERSON RICHARD H +$732,823 Transaction at $281.86, now +25.2%
2025-12-08 Clyburn William Jr. +$60,137.466 Transaction at $294.79, now +19.7%
2025-11-20 Bhatt Anil EVP & CIDO -$253,441.71 Transaction at $281.60, now +25.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NSC on Trend Edge →