RAIL — Freightcar America Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Freightcar America Inc

FreightCar America, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and sells railcars and railcar components for the transportation of bulk commodities and containerized freight products in the United States and Mexico. The company operates through two segments: Manufacturing and Aftermarket. It offers a range of railcars, including boxcars, covered and open-top hopper cars, intermodal and non-intermodal flat cars, mill gondola cars, coil… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.75
Market Cap$150M
Float14.5M
Shares Outstanding19.1M
P/E (Forward)16.39
P/E (TTM)10.73
Price/Sales (TTM)0.32
vs. Analyst Target+93.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.92%
Revenue (TTM)$469M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-24.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $108M -$84.4M -$13.5M -$33.7M
2021 $203M -$41.4M $11.5M -$11.0M
2022 $365M -$38.8M $25.8M -$5.8M
2023 $358M -$23.6M $41.8M $18.1M
2024 $559M -$75.8M $67.0M $39.5M
2025 $501M $38.1M $73.2M $12.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $119M $11.7M
Sep 2025 $161M -$7.4M
Dec 2025 $126M -$16.6M
Mar 2026 $64.3M $41.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership23.7%
Institutional Ownership44.9%
Short Float1.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.97%
Number of Funds Holding80

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.80 resistance 1.52x 1 months ago
$14.40 resistance 2.98x 17 months ago
$3.40 support 4.94x 20 months ago
$3.10 support 1.71x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.49% 0.03% 50.59% 19.58% -19.01%
1 Day 0.17% -0.41% 45.88% 23.47% -24.48%
1 Week 0.57% -2.40% 40.00% 70.95% -36.91%
2 Weeks -0.37% -3.48% 37.65% 91.32% -44.74%
1 Month 1.90% -2.30% 44.05% 189.36% -55.02%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.5%57.1%21
Feb2.2%52.4%21
Mar-0.6%42.9%21
Apr5.8%66.7%21
May-2.6%28.6%21
Jun-3.2%33.3%21
Jul5.4%47.6%21
Aug3.5%38.1%21
Sep4.2%47.6%21
Oct0.4%47.6%21
Nov-3.2%38.1%21
Dec-0.4%52.4%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 47.8% 995
Tuesday 0.08% 49.3% 1092
Wednesday 0.09% 48.8% 1091
Thursday 0.16% 48.3% 1071
Friday 0.05% 49.1% 1068

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 23.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$68,595.712
Net Shares Change-7,982
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Perez Celia GC and Corp Secretary -$68,595.712 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-26 Perez Celia GC and Corp Secretary -$68,595.712 Transaction at $8.59, now -9.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Freightcar America Inc (RAIL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RAIL on Trend Edge →