UBCP — United Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About United Bancorp Inc

United Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Unified Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services in Ohio. The company offers banking and financial services, including accepting demand, savings, and time deposits, as well as granting commercial, real estate, and consumer loans. United Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Martins Ferry, Ohio.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.50
Market Cap$83.4M
Float4.9M
Shares Outstanding5.8M
P/E (Forward)10.30
P/E (TTM)10.69
Price/Sales (TTM)2.58
vs. Analyst Target+29.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin24.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.15%
Revenue (TTM)$32.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)3.80%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$20.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $34.5M $8.0M $26.5M $9.9M
2021 $30.4M $9.5M $29.1M $12.0M
2022 $31.7M $8.7M $29.4M $10.7M
2023 $40.9M $8.9M $30.3M $10.6M
2024 $44.0M $7.4M $29.0M $8.5M
2025 $47.5M $7.8M $32.0M $9.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $11.8M $1.9M
Sep 2025 $12.0M $1.9M
Dec 2025 $12.6M $2.0M
Mar 2026 $11.4M $1.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.5%
Institutional Ownership13.5%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.37%
Number of Funds Holding30

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.39Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.99Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.40 support 1.72x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (104 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 36.54% 14.64% -7.58%
1 Day -0.34% 0.00% 37.50% 7.42% -9.82%
1 Week 0.04% -0.03% 43.27% 21.77% -12.16%
2 Weeks 0.13% -0.03% 49.04% 26.93% -10.67%
1 Month 0.77% 0.20% 51.46% 28.06% -20.17%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.5%30.3%33
Feb0.4%45.5%33
Mar1.3%51.5%33
Apr-2.2%32.4%34
May-0.1%42.4%33
Jun1.4%66.7%33
Jul-1.8%27.3%33
Aug0.0%57.6%33
Sep3.1%60.6%33
Oct-1.9%27.3%33
Nov4.8%66.7%33
Dec5.0%63.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 35.1% 1572
Tuesday 0.00% 36.1% 1718
Wednesday 0.10% 36.4% 1716
Thursday 0.05% 34.5% 1683
Friday 0.21% 38.1% 1676

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 13.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for United Bancorp Inc (UBCP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UBCP on Trend Edge →