TSBK — Timberland Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TSBK Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 41, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Timberland Bancorp Inc

Timberland Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Timberland Bank that provides various community banking services in Washington. It offers various deposit products, including money market deposit, checking, and regular savings accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. The company also provides one-to four-family residential, multi-family, commercial real estate loans, and land loans; and construction lending products, such as… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$46.24
Market Cap$360M
Float7.2M
Shares Outstanding7.8M
P/E (Forward)13.42
P/E (TTM)11.52
Price/Sales (TTM)4.20
vs. Analyst Target-73.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin36.72%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.27%
Revenue (TTM)$85.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.00%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$12.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $69.8M $24.3M $61.2M $33.1M
2021 $68.6M $27.6M $65.6M $37.5M
2022 $67.3M $23.6M $64.5M $32.4M
2023 $87.2M $27.1M $73.5M $36.7M
2024 $102M $24.3M $69.7M $33.0M
2025 $110M $29.2M $77.5M $38.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $29.6M $8.4M
Dec 2025 $30.0M $8.2M
Mar 2026 $28.8M $7.1M
Jun 2026 $26.7M $18.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.1%
Institutional Ownership68.8%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.28%
Number of Funds Holding113

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$44.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.29Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$40.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$35.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$41.00 support 1.81x 1 months ago
$33.90 support 1.31x 7 months ago
$30.60 support 1.13x 11 months ago
$29.70 support 1.04x 20 months ago
$27.00 support 1.12x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (109 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.00% 46.79% 10.20% -5.15%
1 Day 0.10% 0.00% 48.62% 12.74% -13.36%
1 Week -0.07% 0.43% 53.21% 16.34% -15.31%
2 Weeks -0.41% 0.38% 53.21% 19.78% -17.27%
1 Month 0.55% 0.58% 56.48% 24.38% -35.48%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%64.3%28
Feb0.1%37.9%29
Mar-0.6%44.8%29
Apr2.4%62.1%29
May-1.8%41.4%29
Jun0.9%55.2%29
Jul2.7%75.9%29
Aug1.4%67.9%28
Sep-0.8%46.4%28
Oct-0.3%46.4%28
Nov4.0%60.7%28
Dec-0.7%53.6%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 44.6% 1351
Tuesday 0.16% 46.6% 1477
Wednesday 0.05% 46.8% 1478
Thursday -0.08% 41.7% 1450
Friday 0.21% 45.9% 1440

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 68.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$342,614.86
Net Shares Change-299
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BRYDON DEAN J CEO -$74,690.1 1 1 sell
DRUGGE ROBERT A -$60,400 1 1 sell
BASICH MARCI A Chief Financial Officer/EVP -$50,058.676 2 2 sell
Seath Matthew Douglas Chief Risk Officer/EVP -$48,074.1 1 1 sell
Fischer Jonathan Arthur President/COO -$47,660 1 1 sell
SMITH DAVID ALAN -$28,230 1 1 sell
Antich Breanne D Chief Technology Officer/EVP -$23,403.786 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-09 6 5 -$183,221.767 5 C-suite
2026-08-03 – 2026-08-03 3 3 -$134,987.56 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-18 Antich Breanne D Chief Technology Officer/EVP -$1,392.426 Transaction at $46.41, now -0.4%
2026-08-03 Seath Matthew Douglas Chief Risk Officer/EVP -$48,074.1 Transaction at $36.74, now +25.9%
2026-08-03 BRYDON DEAN J CEO -$74,690.1 Transaction at $32.79, now +41.0%
2026-08-03 Antich Breanne D Chief Technology Officer/EVP -$12,223.36 Transaction at $45.44, now +1.8%
2026-08-18 DRUGGE ROBERT A -$60,400 Transaction at $30.77, now +50.3%
2026-06-24 SMITH DAVID ALAN -$28,230 Transaction at $29.79, now +55.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Timberland Bancorp Inc (TSBK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TSBK on Trend Edge →