TFSL — TFS Financial Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About TFS Financial Corporation

TFS Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides retail consumer banking services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including savings, money market, checking, individual retirement, and other qualified plan accounts, as well as certificates of deposit. It also provides residential real estate mortgage loans, residential construction loans, purchase mortgages, and home equity loans and lines of credit, as well… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.89
Market Cap$4.45B
Float50.3M
Shares Outstanding280.4M
P/E (Forward)76.92
P/E (TTM)48.06
Price/Sales (TTM)13.28
vs. Analyst Target-2.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin27.77%
Operating Margin (TTM)39.18%
Revenue (TTM)$335M
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.30%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$15.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $509M $83.3M $293M $133M
2021 $445M $81.0M $296M $133M
2022 $433M $74.6M $290M $119M
2023 $305M $75.3M $305M $93.4M
2024 $759M $79.6M $305M $119M
2025 $792M $91.0M $319M $138M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $198M $21.5M
Sep 2025 $207M $26.0M
Dec 2025 $206M $22.3M
Mar 2026 $203M $23.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership94.9%
Short Float16.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.36%
Number of Funds Holding194

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.97Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.12Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.29Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.10 support 1.21x 0 months ago
$13.30 support 1.13x 5 months ago
$13.10 support 1.09x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.72% -0.27% 34.21% 2.26% -13.99%
1 Day -0.40% -0.26% 42.11% 7.88% -19.21%
1 Week 0.32% 0.90% 57.89% 11.43% -26.53%
2 Weeks 0.22% 1.09% 57.89% 11.74% -26.61%
1 Month 0.46% 0.87% 54.67% 17.52% -23.71%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%47.4%19
Feb0.7%57.9%19
Mar-1.4%57.9%19
Apr0.1%57.9%19
May1.5%68.4%19
Jun-1.6%31.6%19
Jul1.6%57.9%19
Aug-1.1%52.6%19
Sep-0.9%47.4%19
Oct1.8%63.2%19
Nov1.4%52.6%19
Dec1.6%57.9%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 47.9% 901
Tuesday -0.04% 48.4% 988
Wednesday -0.03% 46.4% 985
Thursday 0.02% 48.4% 966
Friday 0.17% 52.5% 963

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

Founder-led management: Bradley T. Stefanski (VP & Chief Strategy Officer of Third Federal Savings and Loan)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value-$2.3M
Net Shares Change-114,342
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Stefanski Marc A Chairman, President and CEO -$572,080.179 1 1 sell
Zbanek Cathy W Chief Synergy Officer -$435,200 2 2 sell
WEIL MEREDITH S Chief Financial Officer -$429,351.96 2 2 sell
Rubino Andrew J Chief Operating Officer -$113,789.28 2 2 sell
Stefanski Gavin B Chief Experience Officer -$104,790 1 1 sell
Asher Anthony J +$86,837.71 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-02 – 2025-09-12 3 3 -$359,667 2 C-suite
2025-12-04 – 2025-12-16 3 3 -$366,428.29 1 C-suite
2026-02-04 – 2026-02-18 4 3 -$1.1M 3 C-suite
2026-05-06 – 2026-05-20 5 4 -$39,639.96 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 Zbanek Cathy W Chief Synergy Officer -$152,600 Transaction at $15.26, now +4.1%
2026-05-12 WEIL MEREDITH S Chief Financial Officer -$205,101.96 Transaction at $14.91, now +6.6%
2026-05-06 Rubino Andrew J Chief Operating Officer -$100,188 Transaction at $15.18, now +4.7%
2026-03-13 Asher Anthony J +$66,850 Transaction at $13.37, now +18.8%
2026-05-27 Rubino Andrew J Chief Operating Officer -$13,601.28 Transaction at $15.60, now +1.9%
2025-12-16 Asher Anthony J +$19,987.71 Transaction at $13.89, now +14.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for TFS Financial Corporation (TFSL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TFSL on Trend Edge →