SUPV — Grupo Supervielle SA

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SUPV Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 26, actionability 6. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability6 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Grupo Supervielle SA

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It offers savings and checking accounts, and time deposits; personal, mortgage, unsecured, and car loans; overdrafts; loans with special facilities for project and working ca… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.87
Market Cap$877M
Float54.8M
Shares Outstanding75.2M
P/E (Forward)7.82
Price/Sales (TTM)0.00
vs. Analyst Target+32.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-10.41%
Operating Margin (TTM)-9.95%
Revenue (TTM)$731.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-42.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.06 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $242.36B $10.29B $134.68B $19.35B
2021 $793.88B -$10.52B $381.48B $16.79B
2022 $1.96T -$34.09B $859.83B $10.04B
2023 $3.02T $112.40B $1.23T $257.67B
2024 $2.04T $104.49B $1.16T $195.12B
2025 $2.33T -$56.60B $918.05B -$112.72B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $439.22B $13.60B
Sep 2025 $323M -$37.8M
Dec 2025 $584.35B -$19.71B
Mar 2026 $388M -$12.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership21.5%
Institutional Ownership20.7%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.47%
Number of Funds Holding39

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.40Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.06Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.30 resistance 1.01x 7 months ago
$5.00 support 2.62x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.42% 0.00% 45.00% 2.72% -5.71%
1 Day 0.04% 0.03% 50.00% 12.34% -9.62%
1 Week 0.95% 1.43% 52.50% 26.74% -22.09%
2 Weeks 2.73% 0.06% 50.00% 37.78% -27.11%
1 Month 4.30% 4.34% 60.00% 45.71% -49.54%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.0%70.0%10
Feb-5.6%30.0%10
Mar-5.6%40.0%10
Apr-1.3%40.0%10
May2.9%80.0%10
Jun1.6%54.5%11
Jul7.4%50.0%10
Aug-8.7%50.0%10
Sep-4.2%40.0%10
Oct16.2%60.0%10
Nov10.7%50.0%10
Dec12.0%80.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 43.4% 475
Tuesday 0.12% 47.9% 524
Wednesday 0.28% 48.4% 521
Thursday -0.01% 46.9% 512
Friday 0.12% 48.6% 512

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 20.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 21.5%

Founder-led management: Julio Patricio Supervielle (Founder, Chairman of the Board & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$82,620
Net Shares Change-51,000
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Morello Ignacio Juan Title: Chief Corporate Banking Officer of Banco Supervielle S.A. Due to the Issuer's status as a foreign private issuer pursuant to Rule 3a12-3(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Act"), the reporting person's transactions in the Issuer's equity securities are exempt from Sections 16(b) and 16(c) of the Act. -$82,620 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-20 Morello Ignacio Juan Title: Chief Corporate Banking Officer of Banco Supervielle S.A. Due to the Issuer's status as a foreign private issuer pursuant to Rule 3a12-3(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Act"), the reporting person's transactions in the Issuer's equity securities are exempt from Sections 16(b) and 16(c) of the Act. -$82,620 Transaction at $1.62, now +509.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Grupo Supervielle SA (SUPV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SUPV on Trend Edge →