STWD — Starwood Property Trust Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Starwood Property Trust Inc

Starwood Property Trust, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Commercial and Residential Lending; Infrastructure Lending; Property; and Investing and Servicing. The Commercial and Residential Lending segment originates, acquires, finances, and manages commercial first mortgages, non-agency residential mortgages, subordinated mortgages, mezzanine loans, … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.37
Market Cap$6.52B
Float352.9M
Shares Outstanding370.7M
P/E (Forward)9.74
P/E (TTM)18.04
Price/Sales (TTM)11.35
vs. Analyst Target+17.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin60.46%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.41%
Revenue (TTM)$581M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-60.40%
Dividend Rate1.9%
Analyst Target Price$20.36 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.14B $332M $699M $902M
2021 $1.19B $448M $739M $1.03B
2022 $1.55B $871M $1.25B $1.85B
2023 $2.05B $339M $1.76B $1.90B
2024 $2.04B $360M $1.76B $1.80B
2025 $1.88B $412M $1.51B $1.84B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $476M $130M
Sep 2025 $490M $72.6M
Dec 2025 $506M $96.9M
Mar 2026 $513M $51.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.8%
Institutional Ownership53.6%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding6.01%
Number of Funds Holding494

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.26Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$19.30 resistance 1.11x 6 months ago
$20.50 resistance 1.13x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (67 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.09% 55.22% 3.87% -3.91%
1 Day -0.02% -0.08% 47.76% 3.78% -5.47%
1 Week -0.37% -0.23% 49.25% 5.37% -8.54%
2 Weeks -0.63% 0.05% 50.75% 7.40% -16.51%
1 Month -0.07% -0.08% 48.48% 24.79% -46.72%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.2%70.6%17
Feb0.4%52.9%17
Mar-2.8%35.3%17
Apr1.7%58.8%17
May-0.5%43.8%16
Jun-0.2%50.0%16
Jul2.5%62.5%16
Aug1.0%56.3%16
Sep-3.6%17.6%17
Oct0.6%47.1%17
Nov3.3%64.7%17
Dec-1.2%41.2%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 51.6% 790
Tuesday 0.01% 49.4% 868
Wednesday -0.00% 51.8% 865
Thursday -0.07% 49.5% 850
Friday 0.10% 51.7% 847

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.8%

Founder-led management: Barry Sternlicht (CEO & Non-Independent Executive Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-7,013
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Dishner Jeffrey G. -$120,136.898 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-03 Dishner Jeffrey G. -$120,136.898 Transaction at $17.13, now +1.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Starwood Property Trust Inc (STWD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STWD on Trend Edge →