ADAM — New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.

Adamas Trust, Inc. acquires, invests in, finances, and manages mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential assets in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Investment Portfolio and Constructive. The Investment Portfolio segment manages a diversified portfolio primarily consisting of mortgage-related single-family and multifamily residential investments, including agency residential mortgage-backed securities … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.83
Market Cap$784M
Float83.9M
Shares Outstanding89.9M
P/E (Forward)7.27
P/E (TTM)7.45
Price/Sales (TTM)2.42
Profit Margin48.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)44.51%
Revenue (TTM)$323M
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.20%
Dividend Rate0.9%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $148M -$289M $136M -$66.7M
2021 $380M $193M $301M $242M
2022 $138M -$299M $8.7M -$187M
2023 $501M -$48.7M $309M -$25.6M
2024 $559M -$62.0M $238M -$32.9M
2025 $806M $149M $353M $178M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $157M $8.5M
Sep 2025 $227M $44.8M
Dec 2025 $236M $53.5M
Mar 2026 $229M $48.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.5%
Institutional Ownership57.5%
Short Float2.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.05%
Number of Funds Holding158

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.72Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.01Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.40 support 1.14x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (86 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.03% 0.00% 44.19% 5.62% -6.85%
1 Day -0.12% -0.26% 47.67% 9.89% -6.50%
1 Week -0.26% -0.51% 43.02% 19.78% -11.58%
2 Weeks 0.42% -0.22% 47.67% 66.18% -19.56%
1 Month 0.46% 0.60% 55.81% 37.32% -70.81%

Next earnings: April 29, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%50.0%22
Feb0.0%40.9%22
Mar-3.3%40.9%22
Apr1.3%50.0%22
May0.5%38.1%21
Jun0.4%47.6%21
Jul-1.0%42.9%21
Aug-1.4%54.5%22
Sep-5.2%18.2%22
Oct-3.9%45.5%22
Nov4.4%72.7%22
Dec1.4%36.4%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 48.7% 1026
Tuesday -0.09% 44.9% 1125
Wednesday 0.02% 48.4% 1125
Thursday -0.14% 44.2% 1103
Friday 0.27% 49.8% 1099

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 57.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. (ADAM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADAM on Trend Edge →