SRCE — 1st Source Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SRCE Bullish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 33, actionability 89. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability89 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About 1st Source Corporation

1st Source Corporation operates as the bank holding company for 1st Source Bank that provides commercial and consumer banking services, trust and wealth advisory services, and insurance products to individual and business clients in the United States. The company's consumer banking services, which include checking and savings accounts; certificates of deposit; health savings and individual retirement accounts; online and mobile banking products; … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$86.17
Market Cap$2.07B
Float17.8M
Shares Outstanding24.1M
P/E (Forward)13.68
P/E (TTM)12.31
Price/Sales (TTM)4.69
vs. Analyst Target+4.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin38.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)54.06%
Revenue (TTM)$442M
Earnings Growth (YoY)29.30%
Dividend Rate1.7%
Analyst Target Price$89.67 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $367M $81.4M $294M $137M
2021 $355M $119M $341M $179M
2022 $385M $121M $341M $176M
2023 $508M $125M $363M $177M
2024 $570M $133M $375M $183M
2025 $600M $158M $422M $214M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $153M $42.3M
Dec 2025 $151M $41.1M
Mar 2026 $149M $40.0M
Jun 2026 $156M $47.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership26.6%
Institutional Ownership80.0%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.32%
Number of Funds Holding204

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$85.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$73.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$67.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$58.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$73.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$67.43Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$59.77Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$82.00 support 1.22x 0 months ago
$74.00 support 1.39x 1 months ago
$63.00 support 1.22x 6 months ago
$54.00 support 1.81x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (129 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.14% 0.00% 46.51% 8.55% -7.70%
1 Day 0.34% 0.11% 51.94% 12.09% -7.98%
1 Week 1.08% 1.24% 58.14% 17.73% -15.33%
2 Weeks 1.02% 1.14% 61.24% 20.50% -18.24%
1 Month 1.91% 1.24% 55.47% 36.48% -17.66%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.3%48.8%43
Feb0.9%53.5%43
Mar0.5%53.5%43
Apr1.4%55.8%43
May1.4%51.2%43
Jun2.0%55.8%43
Jul2.4%55.8%43
Aug0.7%47.6%42
Sep-2.3%39.5%43
Oct1.5%60.5%43
Nov4.3%67.4%43
Dec0.9%51.2%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 43.8% 2048
Tuesday 0.13% 42.9% 2224
Wednesday 0.04% 40.6% 2221
Thursday 0.05% 42.9% 2180
Friday 0.03% 41.9% 2168

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 26.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$247,078.5
Net Shares Change-2,609
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GRIFFITH JOHN B Exec VP / Secy 1st Source Bank -$125,419 1 1 sell
Buhr Jeffrey L Executive Vice President -$77,714.5 1 1 sell
BIRMINGHAM MELODY +$49,777.584 1 1 buy
Bauer Brett A. Treasurer and CFO -$43,945 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-10 Bauer Brett A. Treasurer and CFO -$43,945 Transaction at $87.89, now -2.0%
2026-03-10 BIRMINGHAM MELODY +$49,777.584 Transaction at $51.51, now +67.3%
2025-12-11 GRIFFITH JOHN B Exec VP / Secy 1st Source Bank -$125,419 Transaction at $66.01, now +30.5%
2025-12-15 Buhr Jeffrey L Executive Vice President -$77,714.5 Transaction at $66.14, now +30.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for 1st Source Corporation (SRCE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SRCE on Trend Edge →