Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Steven Madden Ltd
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to- Consumer, and Licensing segments. The company designs, sources, and markets various products, including dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, and casual shoes; and handbags, apparel… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Footwear & Accessories
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: December 10, 1993
Headquarters: 52-16 Barnett Avenue, Long Island City, NY, United States, 11104
Founder-Led: Yes — Steve Madden (Founder and Creative & Design Chief)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$41.93
Market Cap
$3.02B
Float
71.3M
Shares Outstanding
73.1M
P/E (Forward)
15.02
P/E (TTM)
39.01
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.15
vs. Analyst Target
+8.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
2.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)
15.53%
Revenue (TTM)
$2.63B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
75.40%
Dividend Rate
0.8%
Analyst Target Price
$45.44 (10 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$1.20B
-$18.4M
$465M
$66.9M
2021
$1.87B
$191M
$767M
$263M
2022
$2.12B
$216M
$874M
$308M
2023
$1.98B
$172M
$832M
$235M
2024
$2.28B
$169M
$937M
$258M
2025
$2.52B
$44.7M
$1.04B
$123M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$559M
-$39.5M
Sep 2025
$668M
$20.5M
Dec 2025
$754M
$23.2M
Mar 2026
$650M
$71.8M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.3%
Institutional Ownership
105.0%
Short Float
5.8%
% of All Funds Holding
3.14%
Number of Funds Holding
258
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$37.41
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$37.49
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$34.34
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$36.03
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$37.32
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$35.02
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$36.94
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$43.00
resistance
1.33x
2 months ago
$28.90
support
1.17x
7 months ago
$23.60
support
1.12x
8 months ago
$21.10
support
1.77x
11 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.03%
0.15%
55.37%
4.54%
-10.60%
1 Day
-0.39%
-0.29%
46.28%
19.60%
-9.39%
1 Week
-0.14%
-0.72%
45.45%
43.12%
-16.91%
2 Weeks
-0.88%
-0.18%
47.93%
31.35%
-27.65%
1 Month
1.99%
1.03%
52.50%
49.00%
-34.35%
Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (60 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-0.8%
36.4%
33
Feb
0.6%
57.6%
33
Mar
-0.2%
45.5%
33
Apr
7.4%
66.7%
33
May
-0.2%
43.8%
32
Jun
0.6%
59.4%
32
Jul
5.0%
62.5%
32
Aug
1.9%
56.3%
32
Sep
-2.6%
37.5%
32
Oct
4.9%
59.4%
32
Nov
3.4%
65.6%
32
Dec
4.6%
43.8%
32
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.07%
49.5%
1534
Tuesday
0.17%
49.3%
1676
Wednesday
0.07%
47.3%
1674
Thursday
0.07%
46.9%
1642
Friday
0.12%
48.0%
1635
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 105.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 2.3%
Founder-led management: Steve Madden (Founder and Creative & Design Chief)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
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Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.