CROX — Crocs Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CROX Bullish with a Setup Score of 27, net conviction 33, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score27
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Crocs Inc

Crocs, Inc. together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally. The company offers various footwear products, including clogs, sandals, loafers, classics, fuzz, platforms, boots, sandals, slides, slippers, sneakers, flip flops, and flats, as well as totes, back… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$127.13
Market Cap$6.23B
Float47.9M
Shares Outstanding49.7M
P/E (Forward)9.03
Price/Sales (TTM)1.55
vs. Analyst Target-0.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.58%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.16%
Revenue (TTM)$4.02B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$126.00 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.39B $313M $750M $241M
2021 $2.31B $726M $1.42B $717M
2022 $3.55B $540M $1.86B $894M
2023 $3.96B $793M $2.18B $1.09B
2024 $4.10B $950M $2.41B $1.09B
2025 $4.04B -$81.2M $2.30B $241M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.15B -$492M
Sep 2025 $996M $146M
Dec 2025 $958M $105M
Mar 2026 $921M $138M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.8%
Institutional Ownership102.2%
Short Float11.4%
% of All Funds Holding5.29%
Number of Funds Holding435

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$117.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$94.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$96.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$106.75Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$97.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$98.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$108.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$144.00 resistance 1.24x 20 months ago
$147.00 resistance 1.04x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.09% -0.16% 47.56% 29.04% -45.92%
1 Day -3.14% -1.58% 36.59% 28.57% -44.74%
1 Week -2.62% -1.40% 46.34% 48.01% -50.53%
2 Weeks -1.98% -1.15% 43.90% 62.76% -50.17%
1 Month 1.04% 2.50% 58.02% 62.53% -53.07%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.7%50.0%20
Feb-2.7%45.0%20
Mar0.7%57.1%21
Apr7.3%52.4%21
May6.2%66.7%21
Jun3.2%61.9%21
Jul5.4%65.0%20
Aug3.5%40.0%20
Sep0.1%50.0%20
Oct-2.7%45.0%20
Nov2.6%65.0%20
Dec1.2%50.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 50.8% 963
Tuesday 0.17% 53.7% 1053
Wednesday 0.22% 51.7% 1053
Thursday -0.02% 50.7% 1034
Friday 0.09% 49.6% 1028

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$6.7M
Net Shares Change200,163
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings8
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Rees Andrew Chief Executive Officer -$5.0M 2 2 sell
MEHLMAN ANNE EVP & Crocs Brand President -$1.6M 3 3 sell
REPLOGLE JOHN B +$473,584.46 2 2 buy
Healy Susan L. EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$153,120 1 1 buy
REILLY TERENCE EVP, Chief Brand Officer -$135,956.4 1 1 sell
Campbell Rupert George EVP, President of HEYDUDE -$127,177.812 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-12 4 4 -$1.6M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-09 Rees Andrew Chief Executive Officer -$3.9M Transaction at $118.09, now +7.7%
2026-03-12 Rees Andrew Chief Executive Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $80.03, now +58.9%
2026-03-12 REILLY TERENCE EVP, Chief Brand Officer -$135,956.4 Transaction at $80.40, now +58.1%
2026-03-12 MEHLMAN ANNE EVP & Crocs Brand President -$241,173.24 Transaction at $80.12, now +58.7%
2026-03-12 Campbell Rupert George EVP, President of HEYDUDE -$127,177.812 Transaction at $82.00, now +55.0%
2026-02-03 MEHLMAN ANNE EVP & Crocs Brand President -$130,406.88 Transaction at $86.88, now +46.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Crocs Inc (CROX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CROX on Trend Edge →