DECK — Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DECK Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 23, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction23
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Deckers Outdoor Corporation

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities in the United States and internationally. The company offers footwear, apparel, and accessories under the UGG brand; footwear, such as running, trail, hiking, fitness, and lifestyle shoes, as well as apparel and accessories under the HOKA brand; and sandals, shoe… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$105.99
Market Cap$14.48B
Float137.7M
Shares Outstanding138.9M
P/E (Forward)13.87
P/E (TTM)14.56
Price/Sales (TTM)2.65
vs. Analyst Target+19.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.00%
Revenue (TTM)$5.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$126.86 (24 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $2.55B $383M $1.37B $548M
2022 $3.15B $452M $1.61B $610M
2023 $3.63B $517M $1.83B $717M
2024 $4.29B $760M $2.39B $1.04B
2025 $4.99B $966M $2.89B $1.32B
2026 $5.45B $1.02B $3.06B $1.41B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $965M $139M
Sep 2025 $1.43B $268M
Dec 2025 $1.96B $481M
Mar 2026 $1.11B $136M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership100.2%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding9.86%
Number of Funds Holding810

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$106.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$102.27Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$114.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$113.66Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$103.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$115.47Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$122.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$140.00 resistance 1.41x 15 months ago
$174.00 resistance 1.57x 16 months ago
$205.00 resistance 1.13x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (130 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.62% 0.68% 53.85% 17.99% -22.33%
1 Day 1.32% 2.08% 58.46% 30.12% -25.38%
1 Week 0.73% 0.63% 50.77% 27.14% -26.64%
2 Weeks 0.77% 1.60% 54.62% 30.58% -41.67%
1 Month 2.87% 2.21% 55.81% 48.06% -46.66%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (10 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%54.5%33
Feb4.0%54.5%33
Mar1.7%48.5%33
Apr1.5%48.5%33
May3.8%54.5%33
Jun1.6%48.5%33
Jul1.7%56.3%32
Aug2.1%53.1%32
Sep1.4%46.9%32
Oct-0.8%50.0%32
Nov6.0%69.7%33
Dec1.4%57.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 48.8% 1549
Tuesday 0.23% 48.9% 1691
Wednesday 0.13% 49.6% 1689
Thursday 0.14% 48.0% 1656
Friday 0.06% 46.8% 1648

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$629,781.058
Net Shares Change-10,852
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Shanahan Lauri M -$537,680.88 1 1 sell
Spangenberg Anne President, Fashion Lifestyle -$471,389.26 1 1 sell
Ogbechie Angela Chief Supply Chain Officer -$118,910.138 1 N/A
Spring-Green Robin President, Hoka -$39,481.66 1 1 sell
Ibrahim Maha Saleh -$35,404.53 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-13 – 2026-02-13 3 3 -$1.0M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-13 Spangenberg Anne President, Fashion Lifestyle -$471,389.26 Transaction at $116.02, now -8.6%
2026-02-13 Shanahan Lauri M -$537,680.88 Transaction at $114.84, now -7.7%
2026-02-13 Spring-Green Robin President, Hoka -$39,481.66 Transaction at $113.78, now -6.8%
2025-11-03 Ogbechie Angela Chief Supply Chain Officer -$118,910.138 Transaction at $81.45, now +30.1%
2025-09-08 Ibrahim Maha Saleh -$35,404.53 Transaction at $118.02, now -10.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DECK on Trend Edge →