SGU — Star Gas Partners LP

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SGU Bullish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 47, actionability 44. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction47
Actionability44 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Star Gas Partners LP

Star Group, L.P., together with its subsidiaries, provides home heating oil and propane products and services to residential and commercial customers in the United States. It offers gasoline and diesel fuel; and installs, maintains, and repairs heating and air conditioning equipment and ancillary services. As of September 30, 2025, the company served approximately 406,400 full-service residential and commercial home heating oil and propane custom… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.57
Market Cap$413M
Float24.6M
Shares Outstanding32.8M
P/E (Forward)9.80
P/E (TTM)5.54
Price/Sales (TTM)0.22
vs. Analyst Target+3.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)-10.04%
Revenue (TTM)$1.91B
Earnings Growth (YoY)32.10%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$13.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.47B $55.9M $440M $121M
2021 $1.50B $87.7M $444M $164M
2022 $2.01B $35.3M $452M $93.1M
2023 $1.95B $29.3M $438M $94.9M
2024 $1.77B $32.1M $470M $92.6M
2025 $1.78B $63.1M $528M $154M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $248M -$22.3M
Dec 2025 $539M $35.4M
Mar 2026 $767M $88.6M
Jun 2026 $358M -$28.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.2%
Institutional Ownership42.3%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.83%
Number of Funds Holding73

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$12.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.56Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$12.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.10 resistance 1.17x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (117 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.00% 43.59% 10.29% -15.84%
1 Day 0.74% 0.15% 52.99% 33.33% -14.61%
1 Week 0.85% 0.08% 50.43% 62.04% -18.41%
2 Weeks 0.84% 0.00% 48.72% 50.00% -22.47%
1 Month 1.42% 0.83% 55.17% 37.96% -16.37%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.9%64.5%31
Feb-2.5%48.4%31
Mar-0.6%54.8%31
Apr1.0%61.3%31
May4.2%51.6%31
Jun0.4%61.3%31
Jul-0.1%48.4%31
Aug-0.1%33.3%30
Sep-1.0%46.7%30
Oct-2.5%50.0%30
Nov-1.5%43.3%30
Dec4.1%46.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.6% 1452
Tuesday 0.16% 48.6% 1586
Wednesday -0.18% 42.2% 1584
Thursday 0.07% 47.6% 1553
Friday 0.12% 49.0% 1545

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$27,319.433
Net Shares Change2,447
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hammond Jeffrey S Chief Operating Officer +$27,319.433 3 3 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-02 Hammond Jeffrey S Chief Operating Officer +$20,037.68 Transaction at $11.14, now +12.8%
2026-02-02 Hammond Jeffrey S Chief Operating Officer +$6,024.532 Transaction at $11.08, now +13.5%
2026-02-02 Hammond Jeffrey S Chief Operating Officer +$1,257.221 Transaction at $11.99, now +4.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Star Gas Partners LP (SGU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SGU on Trend Edge →