CVI — CVR Energy Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About CVR Energy Inc

CVR Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in renewable fuels and petroleum refining and marketing, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States. It operates through three segments: Petroleum, Renewables, and Nitrogen Fertilizer. The Petroleum segment refines and markets transportation fuels, such as gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and distillates; and includes crude gathering and logistics activities that supp… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.02
Market Cap$3.20B
Float29.3M
Shares Outstanding100.5M
P/E (Forward)32.47
Price/Sales (TTM)0.43
vs. Analyst Target-2.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.56%
Operating Margin (TTM)-7.32%
Revenue (TTM)$7.50B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-68.10%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$31.17 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.93B -$256M -$199M -$7.0M
2021 $7.24B $25.0M $209M $462M
2022 $10.90B $463M $1.12B $1.17B
2023 $9.25B $769M $1.27B $1.44B
2024 $7.61B $7.0M $197M $394M
2025 $7.16B $27.0M $315M $570M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.76B -$114M
Sep 2025 $1.94B $374M
Dec 2025 $1.81B -$110M
Mar 2026 $1.98B -$192M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership102.3%
Short Float20.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.43%
Number of Funds Holding200

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$26.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.85Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.40 support 1.18x 1 months ago
$15.90 support 1.25x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (75 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.13% 56.00% 12.01% -19.19%
1 Day -0.02% -0.58% 42.67% 17.12% -24.18%
1 Week -1.04% -2.07% 42.67% 42.40% -31.19%
2 Weeks 0.25% -0.56% 46.67% 61.99% -32.69%
1 Month 1.97% 2.62% 56.76% 77.19% -51.81%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.1%63.2%19
Feb-0.9%52.6%19
Mar4.0%68.4%19
Apr4.2%42.1%19
May2.5%33.3%18
Jun-1.9%38.9%18
Jul1.0%55.6%18
Aug-1.9%44.4%18
Sep0.5%55.6%18
Oct0.1%55.6%18
Nov1.4%36.8%19
Dec2.5%52.6%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.15% 50.6% 877
Tuesday 0.13% 51.2% 961
Wednesday -0.07% 49.4% 960
Thursday -0.08% 49.1% 940
Friday 0.28% 52.9% 937

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 102.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$6.1M
Net Shares Change783,404
% of Float2.7%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ICAHN CARL C +$16.4M 1 1 buy
LAMP DAVID L President and CEO -$2.0M 1 1 sell
Buhrig Melissa M EVP, General Counsel and Sec. -$950,318.66 1 1 sell
Neumann Dane J. EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$787,486.5 1 1 sell
Wright Michael H. Jr. EVP and Chief Operating Officer -$778,209.96 1 1 sell
Johnson Charles Douglas EVP and Chief Commercial Officer -$677,934.98 1 1 sell
PYTOSH MARK A EVP - Corporate Services -$630,906.66 1 1 sell
Conaway Jeffrey D. VP, CAO and Corp. Controller -$239,864.82 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-12 – 2025-12-12 7 7 -$6.1M 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-24 ICAHN CARL C +$16.4M Transaction at $20.99, now +52.5%
2025-12-12 LAMP DAVID L President and CEO -$2.0M Transaction at $33.98, now -5.8%
2025-12-12 Wright Michael H. Jr. EVP and Chief Operating Officer -$778,209.96 Transaction at $33.98, now -5.8%
2025-12-12 PYTOSH MARK A EVP - Corporate Services -$630,906.66 Transaction at $33.98, now -5.8%
2025-12-12 Neumann Dane J. EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$787,486.5 Transaction at $33.98, now -5.8%
2025-12-12 Johnson Charles Douglas EVP and Chief Commercial Officer -$677,934.98 Transaction at $33.98, now -5.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CVR Energy Inc (CVI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CVI on Trend Edge →