PSX — Phillips 66

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PSX Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 45, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction45
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Phillips 66

Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, proces… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$236.90
Market Cap$96.22B
Float398.1M
Shares Outstanding400.9M
P/E (Forward)12.89
P/E (TTM)13.83
Price/Sales (TTM)0.63
vs. Analyst Target-6.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.66%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.53%
Revenue (TTM)$152.17B
Earnings Growth (YoY)344.90%
Dividend Rate5.1%
Analyst Target Price$221.68 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $63.69B -$3.98B $180M -$3.05B
2021 $111.94B $1.31B $3.38B $3.95B
2022 $170.12B $11.02B $12.77B $16.91B
2023 $147.26B $7.00B $11.29B $12.37B
2024 $143.12B $2.12B $4.86B $5.99B
2025 $132.19B $4.40B $6.49B $9.76B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $34.51B $133M
Dec 2025 $34.02B $2.91B
Mar 2026 $34.08B $207M
Jun 2026 $51.00B $3.85B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership80.5%
Short Float1.9%
% of All Funds Holding23.77%
Number of Funds Holding2,091

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$207.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$171.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$147.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$132.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$171.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$147.80Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$138.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$170.00 support 1.00x 0 months ago
$160.00 support 1.50x 4 months ago
$105.00 support 1.12x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (58 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.16% -0.20% 39.66% 3.17% -3.04%
1 Day 0.02% -0.10% 44.83% 10.73% -5.82%
1 Week 1.36% 1.77% 56.90% 22.22% -10.47%
2 Weeks 2.16% 1.71% 65.52% 34.20% -10.41%
1 Month 3.06% 1.59% 59.65% 39.35% -21.22%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%50.0%14
Feb1.7%57.1%14
Mar2.0%64.3%14
Apr0.7%42.9%14
May0.6%46.7%15
Jun-0.3%46.7%15
Jul4.2%73.3%15
Aug0.4%50.0%14
Sep-0.6%50.0%14
Oct3.2%57.1%14
Nov4.5%71.4%14
Dec-0.3%50.0%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 53.3% 679
Tuesday 0.13% 53.1% 742
Wednesday 0.07% 52.9% 739
Thursday -0.04% 50.1% 726
Friday 0.16% 52.8% 725

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 80.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$30.8M
Net Shares Change-32,613
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings17
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mandell Brian Executive Vice President -$8.1M 2 2 sell
Harbison Richard G EVP, Refining -$6.9M 1 1 sell
Mitchell Kevin J Exec. VP and CFO -$2.3M 1 1 sell
Davis Lisa Ann -$977,330.168 2 2 sell
Kluppel Ann M SVP and Controller -$909,216.39 1 1 sell
Sutherland Vanessa Allen EVP, GC and Secretary -$743,522.809 1 1 sell
Meyers Kevin Omar +$60,606.875 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-06 – 2026-03-17 4 4 -$5.6M 2 C-suite
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-13 4 4 -$12.8M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Davis Lisa Ann -$314,712.768 Transaction at $207.73, now +14.0%
2026-07-21 Sutherland Vanessa Allen EVP, GC and Secretary -$743,522.809 Transaction at $211.05, now +12.2%
2026-08-13 Harbison Richard G EVP, Refining -$6.9M Transaction at $157.15, now +50.7%
2026-08-12 Mandell Brian Executive Vice President -$4.7M Transaction at $144.80, now +63.6%
2026-08-11 Kluppel Ann M SVP and Controller -$909,216.39 Transaction at $152.75, now +55.1%
2026-03-17 Meyers Kevin Omar +$30,310 Transaction at $173.20, now +36.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Phillips 66 (PSX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PSX on Trend Edge →