SFNC — Simmons First National Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Simmons First National Corporation

Simmons First National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Simmons Bank that provides banking and other financial products and services to individuals and businesses. The company offers deposits, checking, and savings accounts; loan products, such as consumer, real estate, commercial, agricultural, equipment, warehouse lending, and SBA lending; specialized products and services, including credit cards, trust and fiduciary service… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.62
Market Cap$3.10B
Float142.8M
Shares Outstanding145.1M
P/E (Forward)9.52
Price/Sales (TTM)38.04
vs. Analyst Target+9.0% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)39.35%
Revenue (TTM)$81.4M
Earnings Growth (YoY)82.60%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$23.57 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $981M $255M $786M $369M
2021 $848M $271M $800M $380M
2022 $1.02B $256M $861M $356M
2023 $1.34B $175M $750M $248M
2024 $1.45B $153M $716M $217M
2025 $627M -$398M $36.4M -$475M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $354M $54.8M
Sep 2025 -$446M -$563M
Dec 2025 $359M $78.1M
Mar 2026 $302M $68.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership84.5%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding3.50%
Number of Funds Holding288

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$20.18Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.73Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$20.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$19.60 support 1.08x 0 months ago
$18.90 support 1.11x 3 months ago
$17.30 support 1.08x 5 months ago
$21.90 resistance 1.36x 13 months ago
$24.50 resistance 1.20x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (128 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.00% 43.75% 4.66% -5.02%
1 Day -0.22% 0.00% 42.19% 8.92% -8.33%
1 Week 0.00% 0.02% 50.00% 12.83% -12.28%
2 Weeks 0.49% 0.72% 56.25% 18.42% -16.61%
1 Month 0.47% 0.00% 48.44% 29.79% -16.49%

Next earnings: July 16, 2026 (49 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.9%41.5%41
Feb0.2%46.3%41
Mar0.3%51.2%41
Apr-0.1%42.9%42
May-0.6%43.9%41
Jun2.0%46.3%41
Jul1.5%51.2%41
Aug-0.2%43.9%41
Sep1.5%53.7%41
Oct0.5%46.3%41
Nov3.0%63.4%41
Dec1.7%58.5%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 38.4% 1959
Tuesday 0.11% 37.8% 2130
Wednesday 0.05% 37.9% 2126
Thursday 0.01% 38.4% 2086
Friday 0.03% 37.4% 2076

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 84.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value+$1.2M
Net Shares Change108,048
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MAKRIS GEORGE JR Chairman and CEO +$844,062.5 1 2 buy
COSSE STEVEN A +$399,786.32 2 2 buy
TEUBNER RUSSELL WILLIAM +$283,489 2 3 buy
Van Steenberg Christopher J EVP and Chief Operating Officer +$249,750 1 1 buy
Hobbs Charles Daniel EVP and CFO +$99,900 1 1 buy
Garner David W EVP, Chief Accounting Officer +$52,980 1 1 buy
COMPTON JENNIFER BRYNN EVP +$49,950 1 1 buy
STACKHOUSE JULIE L +$19,980 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-24 – 2025-07-24 11 11 +$1.6M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-07-24 MAKRIS GEORGE JR Chairman and CEO +$844,062.5 Transaction at $18.50, now +16.9%
2025-08-11 TEUBNER RUSSELL WILLIAM +$208,564 Transaction at $18.62, now +16.1%
2025-07-24 Van Steenberg Christopher J EVP and Chief Operating Officer +$249,750 Transaction at $18.50, now +16.9%
2025-07-24 Hobbs Charles Daniel EVP and CFO +$99,900 Transaction at $18.50, now +16.9%
2025-07-24 COMPTON JENNIFER BRYNN EVP +$49,950 Transaction at $18.50, now +16.9%
2025-10-23 Garner David W EVP, Chief Accounting Officer +$52,980 Transaction at $17.66, now +22.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SFNC on Trend Edge →