DINO — HF Sinclair Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DINO Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 59, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction59
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About HF Sinclair Corp

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants & Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, commodity and modified asphalt products, and others. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$96.52
Market Cap$16.48B
Float167.9M
Shares Outstanding177.8M
P/E (Forward)10.01
P/E (TTM)9.02
Price/Sales (TTM)0.53
vs. Analyst Target-6.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.69%
Revenue (TTM)$31.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)350.20%
Dividend Rate2.1%
Analyst Target Price$90.53 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.18B -$601M $650M -$99.6M
2021 $18.39B $558M $2.63B $1.42B
2022 $38.20B $2.92B $6.82B $4.77B
2023 $31.96B $1.59B $5.14B $3.12B
2024 $28.58B $177M $3.21B $1.22B
2025 $26.87B $579M $1.39B $1.86B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.25B $403M
Dec 2025 $6.46B -$28.0M
Mar 2026 $7.12B $648M
Jun 2026 $10.39B $892M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership89.8%
Short Float5.3%
% of All Funds Holding7.73%
Number of Funds Holding680

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$85.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$64.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$53.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$51.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$65.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$53.42Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$51.92Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$70.00 support 1.17x 0 months ago
$52.00 support 1.32x 4 months ago
$31.10 support 1.07x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (132 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.21% 0.00% 49.24% 5.14% -7.79%
1 Day -0.24% 0.00% 48.48% 11.29% -11.47%
1 Week 0.53% 0.36% 52.27% 14.74% -24.43%
2 Weeks 0.99% 1.66% 53.03% 29.59% -31.70%
1 Month 1.78% 1.15% 54.20% 44.53% -56.42%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%54.3%46
Feb2.4%47.8%46
Mar3.8%54.3%46
Apr3.1%48.9%47
May1.9%57.4%47
Jun0.5%44.7%47
Jul1.1%57.4%47
Aug2.4%56.5%46
Sep-0.7%47.8%46
Oct-0.1%52.2%46
Nov4.2%65.2%46
Dec0.5%52.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 44.1% 2213
Tuesday 0.07% 44.1% 2401
Wednesday 0.09% 44.6% 2399
Thursday -0.03% 42.9% 2353
Friday 0.24% 47.6% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value+$635,287.07
Net Shares Change-7,166,015
% of Float-4.3%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
REH Advisors Inc. -$312M 2 2 sell
MYERS FRANKLIN CEO +$2.3M 2 2 buy
Kunneman Dale SVP and CHRO -$755,851.56 1 1 sell
Pompa Valerie EVP, Operations -$690,500 1 1 sell
Joyce Matthew SVP, Lubricants & Specialties -$166,236.32 1 1 sell
Hardy Rhoman J +$100,010.56 1 1 buy
Garg Vivek Acting CFO, VP, CAO & CONTR -$51,545.13 1 1 sell
Fernandez Manuel J -$46,412.15 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-26 5 5 -$99.9M 4 C-suite
2026-08-04 – 2026-08-11 3 3 -$212M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 MYERS FRANKLIN CEO +$1.3M Transaction at $85.30, now +13.2%
2026-08-06 Kunneman Dale SVP and CHRO -$755,851.56 Transaction at $84.58, now +14.1%
2026-06-16 Hardy Rhoman J +$100,010.56 Transaction at $66.32, now +45.5%
2026-08-04 REH Advisors Inc. -$212M Transaction at $89.41, now +8.0%
2026-05-18 MYERS FRANKLIN CEO and President +$1.0M Transaction at $69.11, now +39.7%
2026-06-03 Fernandez Manuel J -$46,412.15 Transaction at $73.09, now +32.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for HF Sinclair Corp (DINO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DINO on Trend Edge →