PFS — Provident Financial Services Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PFS Bullish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 30, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Provident Financial Services Inc

Provident Financial Services, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Provident Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, families, and businesses in the United States. Its deposit products include savings, checking, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as IRA products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$23.53
Market Cap$3.05B
Float126.2M
Shares Outstanding130.3M
P/E (Forward)9.66
P/E (TTM)9.78
Price/Sales (TTM)3.44
vs. Analyst Target+9.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin34.60%
Operating Margin (TTM)53.48%
Revenue (TTM)$886M
Earnings Growth (YoY)24.20%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$25.75 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $436M $97.0M $353M $148M
2021 $489M $168M $476M $250M
2022 $554M $176M $500M $264M
2023 $696M $128M $451M $198M
2024 $1.14B $116M $607M $204M
2025 $1.38B $291M $867M $474M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $343M $72.0M
Sep 2025 $354M $71.7M
Dec 2025 $353M $83.4M
Mar 2026 $347M $79.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.8%
Institutional Ownership76.1%
Short Float4.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.43%
Number of Funds Holding282

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$22.76Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.56Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.66Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.72Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$18.18Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$22.00 support 1.29x 0 months ago
$21.10 support 1.19x 2 months ago
$19.80 support 1.31x 5 months ago
$14.30 support 1.40x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (94 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% 0.23% 59.57% 4.98% -6.55%
1 Day -0.19% -0.35% 41.49% 5.48% -5.35%
1 Week 0.46% 0.20% 54.26% 13.85% -14.07%
2 Weeks 0.00% -0.05% 50.00% 19.64% -19.51%
1 Month 0.38% 0.00% 49.46% 22.95% -21.74%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.2%30.4%23
Feb-1.6%37.5%24
Mar-0.3%45.8%24
Apr0.9%50.0%24
May-1.2%45.8%24
Jun0.2%50.0%24
Jul4.0%65.2%23
Aug-0.6%52.2%23
Sep-1.7%34.8%23
Oct3.2%65.2%23
Nov3.4%69.6%23
Dec1.3%56.5%23

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 48.7% 1106
Tuesday 0.08% 49.8% 1213
Wednesday -0.03% 47.7% 1213
Thursday 0.04% 50.3% 1188
Friday 0.07% 48.9% 1182

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$516,059.766
Net Shares Change-57,047
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pugliese John -$497,750 1 1 sell
LISTA GEORGE Pres/CEO Prov Protection Plus -$291,450.286 3 3 sell
Giannola Vito EVP & CRBO of provident Bank -$140,286.98 1 1 sell
MCCRACKEN ROBERT E -$136,697.01 1 1 sell
Christy James A. EVP, CRO of Provident Bank -$59,700 1 1 sell
MARTIN CHRISTOPHER P Executive Chairman -$24,622.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-15 LISTA GEORGE Pres/CEO Prov Protection Plus -$82,590.48 Transaction at $23.41, now +0.5%
2026-05-12 LISTA GEORGE Pres/CEO Prov Protection Plus -$57,254.4 Transaction at $22.40, now +5.0%
2026-02-06 MARTIN CHRISTOPHER P Executive Chairman -$24,622.5 Transaction at $23.45, now +0.3%
2026-02-26 MCCRACKEN ROBERT E -$136,697.01 Transaction at $22.13, now +6.3%
2025-11-10 LISTA GEORGE Pres/CEO Prov Protection Plus -$151,605.406 Transaction at $18.35, now +28.2%
2025-08-21 Giannola Vito EVP & CRBO of provident Bank -$140,286.98 Transaction at $18.77, now +25.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Provident Financial Services Inc (PFS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PFS on Trend Edge →