PDLB — Ponce Financial Group Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PDLB Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 51, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction51
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ponce Financial Group Inc

Ponce Financial Group, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Ponce Bank that provides various banking products and services. It provides various deposits, including demand, NOW/IOLA, money market, individual retirement, and savings accounts; reciprocal deposits; and certificates of deposit to individuals, business entities, and non-profit organizations. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.89
Market Cap$486M
Float18.9M
Shares Outstanding24.2M
P/E (Forward)49.26
P/E (TTM)15.35
Price/Sales (TTM)4.46
vs. Analyst Target+20.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.73%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.18%
Revenue (TTM)$109M
Earnings Growth (YoY)44.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$24.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $61.0M $3.9M $47.1M $7.8M
2021 $77.6M $25.4M $66.6M $36.1M
2022 $87.1M -$30.0M $46.9M -$32.6M
2023 $134M $3.4M $72.9M $10.4M
2024 $167M $11.0M $79.8M $20.4M
2025 $194M $28.7M $106M $43.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $47.7M $6.1M
Sep 2025 $48.3M $6.5M
Dec 2025 $52.3M $10.1M
Mar 2026 $50.7M $8.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.2%
Institutional Ownership49.2%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.01%
Number of Funds Holding83

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.23Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$12.34Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.20 support 1.54x 7 months ago
$10.00 support 1.90x 22 months ago
$9.20 support 1.43x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.35% 0.00% 47.06% 4.71% -2.11%
1 Day 0.16% 0.39% 55.88% 7.34% -8.63%
1 Week -0.19% 0.31% 52.94% 12.66% -14.16%
2 Weeks 0.36% 0.88% 58.82% 15.21% -29.47%
1 Month 1.82% 0.70% 55.88% 23.74% -37.44%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (13 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%44.4%9
Feb-0.3%33.3%9
Mar-2.9%55.6%9
Apr-0.7%55.6%9
May4.2%55.6%9
Jun3.8%66.7%9
Jul-0.0%62.5%8
Aug-0.5%50.0%8
Sep1.7%62.5%8
Oct-0.8%37.5%8
Nov8.5%77.8%9
Dec-1.3%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 46.1% 412
Tuesday -0.00% 48.7% 454
Wednesday 0.18% 46.2% 450
Thursday 0.04% 48.6% 442
Friday 0.08% 49.7% 441

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 49.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$58,198.018
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kouzilos Ioannis EVP & Chief Lending Officer -$58,198.018 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-13 Kouzilos Ioannis EVP & Chief Lending Officer -$58,198.018 Transaction at $14.15, now +40.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ponce Financial Group Inc (PDLB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PDLB on Trend Edge →