PBHC — Pathfinder Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PBHC Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 31, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction31
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Pathfinder Bancorp Inc

Pathfinder Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Pathfinder Bank that provides various banking and financial products and services in the United States. The company's deposit products include checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts; certificates of deposit; and demand and time deposits. Its loan portfolio comprises commercial real estate, commercial loans, residential real estate, construction, and tax-exempt loans; ho… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.00
Market Cap$99.5M
Float3.6M
Shares Outstanding4.9M
P/E (Forward)11.29
Price/Sales (TTM)3.32
Profit Margin-8.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)27.13%
Revenue (TTM)$30.0M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-19.70%
Dividend Rate0.4%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $48.2M $7.0M $32.7M $9.7M
2021 $51.0M $12.4M $42.5M $17.8M
2022 $56.4M $12.9M $43.9M $16.4M
2023 $71.8M $9.3M $40.1M $13.1M
2024 $83.5M $3.4M $35.1M $6.5M
2025 $79.1M -$3.4M $30.5M -$1.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $17.7M $31,000
Sep 2025 $21.2M $626,000
Dec 2025 $19.6M -$7.0M
Mar 2026 $18.8M $2.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership23.0%
Institutional Ownership33.1%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.23%
Number of Funds Holding19

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.94Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.22Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.60 support 3.21x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (107 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% 0.00% 22.43% 24.08% -15.80%
1 Day -0.29% 0.00% 23.36% 24.08% -15.80%
1 Week -0.49% 0.00% 41.12% 19.90% -20.43%
2 Weeks 0.10% 0.07% 50.47% 21.54% -24.53%
1 Month 1.22% 0.83% 55.66% 45.09% -21.87%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.1%58.1%31
Feb0.1%54.8%31
Mar0.6%45.2%31
Apr1.5%58.1%31
May-0.7%41.9%31
Jun-1.7%41.9%31
Jul2.8%50.0%30
Aug1.4%56.7%30
Sep3.7%63.3%30
Oct-1.3%46.7%30
Nov1.2%56.7%30
Dec1.0%61.3%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 23.8% 1449
Tuesday 0.06% 25.5% 1583
Wednesday 0.06% 26.6% 1581
Thursday 0.04% 27.1% 1549
Friday 0.20% 28.5% 1543

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 33.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 23.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+$35,040
Net Shares Change4,781
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gagas Adam C. +$26,893.435 1 1 buy
Dowd James A. President and CEO +$19,159 1 1 buy
Polniak Joseph FVP, General Counsel +$15,881 1 1 buy
Ayoub David A. +$5,452.75 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-16 Polniak Joseph FVP, General Counsel +$15,881 Transaction at $15.88, now +0.7%
2026-06-04 Dowd James A. President and CEO +$19,159 Transaction at $13.69, now +16.9%
2026-02-13 Gagas Adam C. +$26,893.435 Transaction at $13.75, now +16.4%
2026-02-06 Ayoub David A. +$5,452.75 Transaction at $12.83, now +24.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Pathfinder Bancorp Inc (PBHC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PBHC on Trend Edge →