PB — Prosperity Bancshares Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PB Bullish with a Setup Score of 57, net conviction 45, actionability 72. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score57
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction45
Actionability72 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Prosperity Bancshares Inc

Prosperity Bancshares, Inc. operates as bank holding company for the Prosperity Bank that provides financial products and services to businesses and consumers. It accepts various deposit products, such as demand, savings, money market, and time accounts; and certificates of deposit. The company also offers 1-4 family residential mortgage, commercial real estate and multifamily residential, commercial and industrial, and agricultural and non-real … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$72.75
Market Cap$8.72B
Float109.5M
Shares Outstanding120.2M
P/E (Forward)11.48
P/E (TTM)12.64
Price/Sales (TTM)6.27
vs. Analyst Target+11.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin40.42%
Operating Margin (TTM)58.04%
Revenue (TTM)$1.39B
Earnings Growth (YoY)17.70%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$81.38 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.24B $529M $1.10B $676M
2021 $1.15B $519M $1.10B $689M
2022 $1.20B $525M $1.11B $694M
2023 $1.56B $419M $1.05B $565M
2024 $1.74B $479M $1.14B $647M
2025 $1.74B $543M $1.25B $849M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $427M $138M
Dec 2025 $429M $140M
Mar 2026 $403M $116M
Jun 2026 $520M $169M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership75.5%
Short Float4.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.13%
Number of Funds Holding451

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$73.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$70.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$69.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$67.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$70.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$70.37Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$67.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$69.00 support 1.14x 1 months ago
$66.00 support 1.03x 8 months ago
$76.00 resistance 1.22x 16 months ago
$62.00 support 1.33x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (111 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.07% 0.10% 52.25% 3.55% -4.48%
1 Day 0.25% 0.02% 50.45% 14.57% -8.15%
1 Week 0.49% 0.52% 54.05% 9.92% -11.84%
2 Weeks 1.26% 1.90% 61.26% 15.29% -20.63%
1 Month 1.21% 0.88% 54.55% 21.50% -19.45%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%53.6%28
Feb-0.2%42.9%28
Mar-0.8%53.6%28
Apr1.7%53.6%28
May1.0%64.3%28
Jun0.6%60.7%28
Jul3.4%57.1%28
Aug-0.5%48.1%27
Sep-0.2%44.4%27
Oct2.7%70.4%27
Nov3.3%63.0%27
Dec0.6%64.3%28

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 49.6% 1311
Tuesday 0.12% 50.0% 1434
Wednesday 0.09% 49.6% 1434
Thursday 0.04% 48.2% 1406
Friday 0.03% 48.1% 1399

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 75.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings56
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-82,550
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MUELLER PERRY JR -$1.6M 1 1 sell
HOLMES NED S -$486,969.76 6 N/A
STEELHAMMER ROBERT H -$104,250 1 1 sell
Henderson Leah -$76,650 1 1 sell
STAFFORD HARRISON II -$56,604.08 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-04 – 2025-12-17 5 3 -$368,214.28

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-27 STEELHAMMER ROBERT H -$104,250 Transaction at $69.50, now +4.7%
2026-02-18 MUELLER PERRY JR -$1.6M Transaction at $73.02, now -0.4%
2025-12-11 Henderson Leah -$76,650 Transaction at $73.00, now -0.3%
2025-12-04 STAFFORD HARRISON II -$56,604.08 Transaction at $70.76, now +2.8%
2026-08-19 HOLMES NED S -$81,024.64 Transaction at $73.66, now -1.2%
2026-08-13 HOLMES NED S -$81,550.97 Transaction at $74.14, now -1.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Prosperity Bancshares Inc (PB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PB on Trend Edge →