OSBC — Old Second Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OSBC Bullish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 31, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score36
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction31
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Old Second Bancorp Inc

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community banking services in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including consumer and business checking, NOW, money market, savings, and other time deposit accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$25.19
Market Cap$1.28B
Float49.1M
Shares Outstanding50.9M
P/E (Forward)8.60
P/E (TTM)14.57
Price/Sales (TTM)3.76
vs. Analyst Target+9.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin27.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)44.69%
Revenue (TTM)$341M
Earnings Growth (YoY)12.50%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$27.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $140M $27.8M $117M $40.7M
2021 $142M $20.0M $129M $31.7M
2022 $255M $67.4M $238M $98.4M
2023 $321M $91.7M $264M $132M
2024 $336M $85.3M $267M $122M
2025 $397M $80.3M $310M $121M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $115M $9.9M
Dec 2025 $114M $28.8M
Mar 2026 $111M $25.6M
Jun 2026 $101M $28.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership78.9%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.09%
Number of Funds Holding184

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.45Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.41Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.40 support 1.23x 0 months ago
$21.20 support 1.10x 1 months ago
$17.90 support 1.05x 8 months ago
$15.60 support 1.32x 21 months ago
$14.80 support 1.81x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (115 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.24% 0.00% 36.52% 11.62% -21.19%
1 Day -0.39% 0.00% 39.13% 29.97% -20.32%
1 Week -0.22% -0.20% 47.83% 33.55% -27.15%
2 Weeks 0.21% 0.00% 48.70% 50.97% -30.46%
1 Month 1.75% 1.22% 52.63% 92.90% -40.40%

Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (55 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%54.5%33
Feb0.8%51.5%33
Mar0.1%54.5%33
Apr1.4%51.5%33
May0.4%48.5%33
Jun-2.5%48.5%33
Jul4.0%57.6%33
Aug-0.9%50.0%32
Sep2.1%50.0%32
Oct2.4%65.6%32
Nov2.6%62.5%32
Dec1.6%60.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 43.3% 1551
Tuesday 0.05% 42.7% 1693
Wednesday -0.02% 42.6% 1692
Thursday 0.05% 42.7% 1659
Friday 0.12% 43.2% 1651

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$5.3M
Net Shares Change-287,869
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Campbell Darin Patrick President, Powersports Lending -$1.8M 2 2 sell
Eccher James CHAIRMAN AND CEO -$1.4M 1 N/A
COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$1.1M 4 5 sell
Pilmer Donald EVP -$518,795 1 1 sell
Gartelmann Richard A JR EVP -$41,950 1 1 sell
Lyons Billy J Jr. +$501.6 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-21 4 3 -$1.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$318,525 Transaction at $21.23, now +18.6%
2026-05-12 Lyons Billy J Jr. +$501.6 Transaction at $20.90, now +20.5%
2026-05-11 Pilmer Donald EVP -$518,795 Transaction at $20.75, now +21.4%
2026-03-23 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$429,435.351 Transaction at $19.38, now +30.0%
2026-05-21 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$211,200 Transaction at $21.12, now +19.3%
2026-08-12 Eccher James CHAIRMAN AND CEO -$1.4M Transaction at $25.46, now -1.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Old Second Bancorp Inc (OSBC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OSBC on Trend Edge →