OSBC — Old Second Bancorp Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OSBC Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 24, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Old Second Bancorp Inc

Old Second Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Old Second National Bank that provides community banking services in the United States. The company provides deposit products, including consumer and business checking, NOW, money market, savings, and other time deposit accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.89
Market Cap$1.18B
Float49.6M
Shares Outstanding51.4M
P/E (Forward)8.60
P/E (TTM)13.68
Price/Sales (TTM)3.62
vs. Analyst Target+10.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin26.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)42.50%
Revenue (TTM)$325M
Earnings Growth (YoY)11.60%
Dividend Rate0.3%
Analyst Target Price$25.33 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $140M $27.8M $117M $40.7M
2021 $142M $20.0M $129M $31.7M
2022 $255M $67.4M $238M $98.4M
2023 $321M $91.7M $264M $132M
2024 $336M $85.3M $267M $122M
2025 $397M $80.3M $310M $121M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $84.6M $21.8M
Sep 2025 $115M $9.9M
Dec 2025 $114M $28.8M
Mar 2026 $111M $25.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.5%
Institutional Ownership76.3%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding2.13%
Number of Funds Holding175

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$21.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$20.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.92Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.78Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.20 support 1.10x 0 months ago
$14.80 support 1.81x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% 0.00% 37.72% 11.62% -21.19%
1 Day -0.37% 0.00% 38.60% 29.97% -20.32%
1 Week -0.24% -0.10% 47.37% 33.55% -27.15%
2 Weeks 0.17% 0.00% 48.25% 50.97% -30.46%
1 Month 1.73% 1.09% 51.33% 92.90% -40.40%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%54.5%33
Feb0.8%51.5%33
Mar0.1%54.5%33
Apr1.4%51.5%33
May0.4%48.5%33
Jun-2.5%48.5%33
Jul3.8%56.3%32
Aug-0.9%50.0%32
Sep2.1%50.0%32
Oct2.4%65.6%32
Nov2.6%62.5%32
Dec1.6%60.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 43.3% 1544
Tuesday 0.05% 42.6% 1686
Wednesday -0.02% 42.6% 1685
Thursday 0.05% 42.5% 1652
Friday 0.12% 43.1% 1644

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$3.4M
Net Shares Change-212,844
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$1.1M 4 5 sell
Campbell Darin Patrick President, Powersports Lending -$734,783.7 2 2 sell
Pilmer Donald EVP -$518,795 1 1 sell
Gartelmann Richard A JR EVP -$41,950 1 1 sell
Lyons Billy J Jr. +$916.85 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-11 – 2026-05-21 4 3 -$1.0M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$318,525 Transaction at $21.23, now +7.8%
2026-05-12 Lyons Billy J Jr. +$501.6 Transaction at $20.90, now +9.5%
2026-05-11 Pilmer Donald EVP -$518,795 Transaction at $20.75, now +10.3%
2026-05-21 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$211,200 Transaction at $21.12, now +8.4%
2026-05-26 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$108,134.4 Transaction at $21.12, now +8.4%
2026-03-23 COLLINS GARY S VICE CHAIRMAN -$429,435.351 Transaction at $19.38, now +18.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Old Second Bancorp Inc (OSBC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OSBC on Trend Edge →